Welcome to another edition of NHL Predictions here at Last Word On Hockey, where we provide analysis, insights, and predictions for upcoming NHL games. Tonight, the St. Louis Blues play their final game before the Olympic Break as they stop in Dallas to take on the red hot Stars.

NHL Predictions: St. Louis Blues vs Dallas Stars

Time: 9:30PM Eastern Standard Time

How to Watch TV: TNT, HBO MAX

2025-2026 Season Series: 1-2-0
Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

For the third time in just twelve days, the St. Louis Blues and the Dallas Stars take the ice in a Central Division matchup. These two teams have played very tight, competitive games in each of their three meetings so far. These games have been so close in fact, that Dallas won the last two meetings by scoring the game winning goal with less than 90 seconds left.

This is the fourth and final meeting between these two divisional foes. In addition to that, this is also each team’s final game before the Olympic Break. The Stars are hanging tight at the top of the Central Division. At the end of play on Thursday, Dallas could find themselves just four points behind the once invincible Colorado Avalanche.

Meanwhile, St. Louis is sitting in the penultimate position of the NHL. Only the Vancouver Canucks have fewer points than the Blues. The New York Rangers and Calgary Flames are also hanging around the bottom of the league. When everyone returns from the break, two races will begin. The race to the Stanley Cup (where Dallas is firmly positioned) and the battle for the first-overall draft pick (which St. Louis has a great shot at).

How Much Longer Now?

Coming into tonight, the St. Louis Blues have 26 games remaining in the 2025-2026 season. Are they mathematically eliminated from the postseason? Not yet. Do they look like a team that could win 20+ of those 26 games and make it interesting down the stretch? Absolutely not.

The Blues started their final two games before the break near perfect. Halfway through Monday night, they led the Nashville Predators by a score of 5-1. Then the other Blues team showed up to play hockey. Coaches, players, fans, and the entire league watched as Nashville scored five unanswered goals to easily complete an utterly impressive comeback. 

Jim Montgomery said he noticed his team’s confidence disappear after the second Predators goal. As ugly of a performance the final 30 minutes of the game might have been,  there was good to be found. The defence was skating well and moving the puck. Colton Parayko earned his first goal of the year. Jake Neighbours took the team lead in goals (14) while Jordan Kyrou added two assists. They will need to cling to those bright spots if they want to have a chance to win in Dallas.

Stars Shining Bright

Dallas enters tonight as winners of five straight. The Stars had a 3-2 lead late in Winnipeg on Monday before surrendering a goal with less than two minutes left. Thomas Harley scored his fifth of the year in overtime to send the Stars fans home happy with the extra point.

In those five wins, Matt Duchene has five goals and a total of seven points. Miro Heiskanen is averaging an assist a game over that same amount of time. In 53 games this year, forward Mikko Rantanen leads Dallas with 68 points. The team leader in points for St. Louis? The injured Robert Thomas with 33.

If Dallas is able to get both points tonight, that will put them 7-3-0 in their last ten games. Three of those seven wins will have come against this very St. Louis team. The Blues and their fans are counting down the games until the draft. The Stars fans however, have their eyes set on overtaking Colorado and winning not only the Central Division, but the Stanley Cup. 

Prediction:

Jason Robertson and Matt Duchene have had their fingerprints all over the score sheet for these past two matchups. Duchene has three goals against the Blues while Robertson has a goal and three assists. St. Louis and Team Canada goalie Jordan Binnington will likely get the nod tonight, serving as one final tune up before the Olympics begin. Jordan Kyrou has eight points over his last five games, which may give St. Louis a bit of hope. Unfortunately, the Stars are just too offensively gifted for the mess that is the Blues defensive play

Prediction: Stars win 5-2

Prop Bets:

The over/under for this game is at 5.5 goals. With a predicted seven total goals, we are coming in at -122. Blues captain Brayden Schenn had two goals the last time these teams met. After the abysmal showing in Nashville, the captain will look to get everyone back on track. We like him to have a goal at +340. We also think Duchene continues his hot streak into the break. We’ll take him with a goal at +260.  

Main Photo: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images
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