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Jake Guentzel and Auston Matthews will be leading the way for the Tampa Bay Lightning and Toronto Maple Leafs, respectively, when the two teams face off on Wednesday, Feb. 25 at Benchmark International Arena, starting at 7:30 p.m. ET. Check out everything you need to know about the Lightning-Maple Leafs game, from the puck lined, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Game Information and TV ChannelWhen: Wednesday, February 25, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ETWhere: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, FloridaTV: TNTLive Boxscore: FOX Sports Lightning vs Maple Leafs Betting Information Favorite Puck Line Favorite Puck Line Odds Underdog Puck Line Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Lightning -1.5 105 -125 6.5 114 -135 -238 +195
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Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction
ATS Pick: Lightning (- 1.5)
O/U Pick: Under (6.5)
Score Prediction: Lightning 4 – Maple Leafs 2
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Betting InsightsIn 24 of 55 matches this season, Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to finish above 6.5 goals.Toronto has played 33 games this season that ended with over 6.5 goals.The two teams combine to score 6.8 goals per game, 0.3 more than this game’s total.Opponents of these two teams combine to score 5.9 goals per game, 0.6 fewer than this game’scontest’s over/under.The Lightning are fourth in goals scored in the league, and the Maple Leafs rank 14th.The Lightning are second in the league in goals conceded, and the Maple Leafs are 28th.Lightning StatsThe Lightning score the fourth-most goals in the league (195 total, 3.6 per game).Tampa Bay has given up 138 total goals (2.5 per game), the second-fewest in NHL play.Their goal differential (+57) makes them second-best in the league.The 38 power-play goals Tampa Bay has put up this season (10th-most in NHL) have come on 174 chances.The Lightning’s 21.84% power-play conversion rate ranks 12th in the league.The three shorthanded goals Tampa Bay has scored this season rank 20th among all NHL teams.Lightning LeadersMaple Leafs StatsWith 187 goals (3.3 per game), the Maple Leafs have the NHL’s 14th-ranked offense.Toronto has allowed 193 total goals this season (3.4 per game), ranking 28th in the NHL.They have the 19th-ranked goal differential in the league at -6.With 25 power-play goals (on 133 chances), Toronto ranks 31st in the NHL.The Maple Leafs’ power-play percentage (18.80) puts them 22nd in the league.In terms of shorthanded goals, Toronto has three.Maple Leafs Leaders Name Games Goals Assists Points Giveaways Takeaways Faceoff Win % William Nylander 40 18 34 52 44 19 39.6% John Tavares 57 20 27 47 54 22 58.7% Auston Matthews 51 26 21 47 46 25 59.6% Matthew Knies 54 14 32 46 47 16 0% Oliver Ekman-Larsson 57 8 26 34 83 11 –
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