The Vegas Golden Knights visit the Minnesota Wild in Game 4 of a Western Conference best-of-7, first-round series in the Stanley Cup Playoffs Saturday. Puck drop from Xcel Energy Center in Saint Paul is set for 4 p.m. ET (TBS / truTV / Max). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Golden Knights vs. Wild odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: Wild lead 2-1

The Golden Knights dropped their second straight game in the series, falling 5-2 Thursday. G Adin Hill struggled, allowing 4 goals on 21 shots before being pulled after 2 periods. G Akira Schmid took over in the third, stopping all 9 shots he faced. Vegas’ only offense came from D Alex Pietrangelo in the first period and a short-handed goal by RW Reilly Smith in the third.

The Wild have completely flipped the momentum in this series, outscoring the Golden Knights 10-4 over the last 2 games. A huge part of their surge has been the play of LW Matt Boldy and captain Kirill Kaprizov, who have combined for 8 goals, 5 assists and 13 points. Special teams were a major factor in Game 3 as well, with Minnesota going 2-for-4 on the power play and shutting down Vegas on all 4 of its man-advantage opportunities..

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Wild at Golden Knights odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:27 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Golden Knights -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Wild +125 (bet $100 to win $125)Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Golden Knights -1.5 (+170) | Wild +1.5 (-210)Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -125 | U: +105)Wild at Golden Knights projected goalies

Adin Hill (32-13-5, 2.47 GAA, .906 SV%, 4 SO – regular season) vs. Filip Gustavsson (31-19-6, 2.56 GAA, .914 SV%, 5 SO – regular season)

Hill struggled in Game 3, allowing 4 goals on 21 shots before being pulled after 2 periods. He’s now 3-2 against the Wild this season, giving up 12 goals on 97 shots in those matchups. Despite the rough outing, Hill has been a steady postseason performer, boasting a 13-8 playoff record with a 2.31 GAA, .922 SV% and 3 shutouts.

Gustavsson has delivered back-to-back strong performances, stopping 60 of the last 64 shots he’s faced over the past 2 games against Vegas. He’s now allowed just 11 goals on 127 shots across 4 starts against the Golden Knights this season. For his postseason career, Gustavsson holds a 4-4 record with a solid 2.34 GAA and a .921 SV%.

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Wild at Golden Knights picks and predictionsPrediction

Wild 4, Golden Knights 3

BET WILD (+125).

It’s tough not to back the Wild in Game 4. All the momentum is in their favor after dominating the last 2 games, and they’ll be back in front of their home crowd, where they’ve won 4 straight. Boldy and Kaprizov have stepped up in a big way, leading the charge as Minnesota looks to capture its first playoff series win since 2014-15.

Meanwhile, the Golden Knights’ stars have gone quiet. Top regular-season scorers Jake Eichel (94 points) and Mark Stone (67 points) have combined for 0 points through 3 games. Vegas also has questions in net. Hill is expected to start Game 4, but his leash will be short after posting a rough 1-2 record with a 3.78 GAA and .825 SV% in these playoffs.

On the flip side, Gustavsson continues to be steady, carrying a 2.35 GAA and .922 SV% this postseason after posting similarly strong numbers in 2022-23.

With plus odds, momentum and home ice, the Wild are the play in Game 4.

PASS.

No need to play with the puck line when you can get the Wild at plus odds on the moneyline.

BET OVER 5.5 (-125).

I’m sticking with the Over in this matchup. The Over has hit in each of the last 4 meetings between the Golden Knights and Wild. Vegas has gone Over in 5 of its last 6 games, while Minnesota has cashed the Over in 5 of its last 7. With the Golden Knights’ uncertainty in goal, it makes the Over even more appealing.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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