The Tampa Bay Lightning (38-17-4) will try to break a three-game losing streak when they take on the Winnipeg Jets (24-26-10) on the road on Thursday, March 5 at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Prepare for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will win the game in Thursday’s hockey action.

The Jets have put up a 4-3-3 record during their past 10 contests. They have scored 23 total goals (three power-play goals on 29 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 10.3%) while conceding 30 goals to their opponents.

Lightning vs. Jets Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this game predicts a final result of Jets 4, Lightning 3.

Moneyline Pick: Jets (+142)
Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.0 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Jets (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning are 9-4-13 in overtime matchups on their way to a 38-17-4 overall record.
Tampa Bay has 18 points (8-8-2) in the 18 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
The six times this season the Lightning ended a game with only one goal, they went 2-3-1 (five points).
Tampa Bay has scored exactly two goals in 13 games this season (4-6-3 record, 11 points).
The Lightning are 32-6-0 in the 38 games when they have scored at least three goals (to record 64 points).
In the 19 games when Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal, it went 12-5-2 to register 26 points.
In the 33 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 19-11-3 (41 points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 25 times, and went 18-6-1 (37 points).
Jets Splits and Trends

The Jets have a record of 24-26-10 this season and are 4-10-14 in overtime matchups.
In the 28 games Winnipeg has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 26 points.
This season the Jets recorded just one goal in 11 games and they’ve earned two points (0-9-2) in those contests.
Winnipeg has six points (2-4-2) when scoring two goals this season.
The Jets have earned 50 points in their 36 games with more than two goals scored.
This season, Winnipeg has capitalized on a single power-play goal in 21 games has a record of 10-8-3 in those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Winnipeg is 7-12-2 (16 points).
The Jets have been outshot by opponents 38 times this season, and earned 41 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Jets Game Time and TV Channel

When: Thursday, March 5, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
Where: Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, Manitoba

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