Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs odds, tips and betting trends

Data Skrive

March 6, 2026Updated March 7, 2026, 1:53 a.m. ET

Mar 5, 2026; New York, New York, USA; Toronto Maple Leafs center John Tavares (91) controls the puck against New York Rangers defenseman Vladislav Gavrikov (44) during the third period at Madison Square Garden.

The Tampa Bay Lightning (38-18-4, second in the Eastern Conference) visit the Toronto Maple Leafs (27-25-11, 14th) at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday at 7 p.m. ET.

Tampa Bay lost 4-1 on the road in its last game on March 5 against the Winnipeg Jets.

Toronto’s last game was a road loss, 6-2, to the New York Rangers on March 5.

Here is everything you need to get ready for Saturday’s hockey action.

Watch the NHL on Fubo!Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs odds and betting lines

NHL odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Saturday at 1:53 a.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Favorite: Lightning (-175)Underdog: Maple Leafs (+144)Over/under: 6.5Lightning vs. Maple Leafs game info and start timeDate: Saturday, March 7, 2026Time: 7 p.m. ETTV channel: NHL NetworkWatch the NHL on Fubo!Lightning stats and trendsIn 48 games as the moneyline favorite this season, Tampa Bay has won 30 of those games.The Lightning have won 14 of the 20 games they have played with moneyline odds lower than -175.Tampa Bay has a 63.6% chance of winning this game, looking at the moneyline odds.Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to put up more than 6.5 goals in 26 of 60 games this season.In the past 10 contests, the Lightning have claimed 80.0% of the possible points with a 6-4-0 record.They have put up 33 goals during that stretch.Over on the defensive side, the Lightning have allowed 30 goals (3.0 per game) over those 10 matchups.Maple Leafs stats and trendsThe Maple Leafs have secured an upset victory in 11, or 35.5%, of the 31 games they have played while the underdog this season.Toronto has won three of its six games when it is the underdog by +144 or longer on the moneyline.The moneyline in this outing implies a 41.0% chance for the Maple Leafs to win.Toronto has combined with its opponent to score more than 6.5 goals in 36 of 63 games this season.Over the last 10 games, the Maple Leafs have gone 3-5-2 (55.0% of possible points).They have averaged 2.5 goals per game (25 total) over that stretch.On the defensive side, the Maple Leafs have allowed 3.2 goals per game (32 total) over those 10 matchups.

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