March 7, 2026, 3:58 a.m. ET

The Washington Capitals (31-25-7) and the Boston Bruins (34-22-5) meet Saturday at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. Puck drop is scheduled for 12:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Capitals vs. Bruins and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: Bruins lead 1-0

The Bruins won 3-1 in Washington in the season opener Oct. 8 as a moderate underdog (+160) with the Under (5.5) cashing. RW David Pastrnak tallied a goal and 2 assists in the win, while G Jeremy Swayman stopped 35 of 36 shots. C Elias Lindholm broke a 1-1 tied with a goal 7:41 into the third period and C Morgan Geekie sealed the W with an empty netter.

Washington is coming off a 3-2 loss at home against Utah Tuesday, falling as a slight favorite (-111) as the Under (6) cashed. LW Pierre-Luc Dubois and RW Ryan Leonard provided power-play goals in the losing effort, while G Logan Thompson kicked aside 20 of 23 shots.

The Caps have dropped the past 2 games after a 3-game win streak. The Under is on a 6-1 run across the previous 7 outings.

Boston was doubled up 6-3 in Nashville by the Predators Thursday, and is 1-2 in the past 3 games. Geekie had a power-play goal in the loss, while LW Viktor Arvidsson and D Charlie McAvoy each had a goal and an assist.

The Bruins have lost 2 of the past 3 games, but they’re still 6-2-3 in the past 11 outings, and 14-4-3 across the previous 21 contests. The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 games.

Watch the NHL on Fubo!Capitals at Bruins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:57 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Capitals +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Bruins -120 (bet $120 to win $100)Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Capitals +1.5 (-235) | Bruins -1.5 (+190)Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -115 | U: -105)Capitals at Bruins projected goalies

Logan Thompson (21-17-4, 2.42 GAA, .913 SV%, 2 SO) vs. Jeremy Swayman (23-13-3, 2.85 GAA, .904 SV%, 1 SO)

Thompson was in between the pipes Tuesday, stopping 20 of 23 shots in the 3-2 loss to Utah, halting a 3-game start win streak. He has allowed 3 or fewer goals in 4 straight starts, and 11 of his past 13 outings. He conceded 2 goals on 21 shots in the 3-1 loss Oct. 8 in the first meeting vs. the Bruins.

Swayman and Joonas Korpisalo are expected to split the 2 starts Saturday and Sunday. Korpisalo allowed 5 goals in a 6-3 loss Thursday in Nashville, so it’s likely Swayman gets the starting nod. He allowed just a single goal on 35 shots in a 2-1 win Tuesday against the Pittsburgh Penguins.

Capitals at Bruins picks and predictionsPrediction

Bruins 3, Capitals 2

BOSTON (-120) is a solid play at home in this matinee game.

The B’s have won 11 in a row at home since falling 6-2 to the Montreal Canadiens Dec. 23. On the flip side, the Capitals lost 2 in a row, and they’ve dropped the past 2 road games, while going 2-6-1 across the previous 9 outings away from home.

While the road team has won the past 2 meetings, including a Boston win Oct. 8 in D.C., and the road team is 5-2-0 in the past 7 in the series, Boston is playing much better hockey lately.

The Capitals +1.5 (-235) will cost nearly 2½ times the potential return. That’s too expensive and not worth the risk.

The Bruins -1.5 (+190) can’t be trusted to cover the puck line. They’re 2-5 in the past 7 games as favorites on the puck line.

AVOID.

UNDER 6 (-110) is the lean, but roll with a half-unit play at best.

The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 games for the Bruins, including the past 2 starts with Swayman in between the pipes.

The Under is 6-1 in the past 7 games for the Capitals, too, while cashing in each of Thompson’s past 4 starts, while the Under is 5-0-1 in his past 6 starts.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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