The Tampa Bay Lightning (39-18-4) visit the Buffalo Sabres (38-19-6), who have won six in a row, on Sunday, March 8 at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Before watching this matchup, here’s a peek at which club we think will emerge with the victory in Sunday’s action on the ice.

The Sabres have a 7-2-1 record over their last 10 contests. They have scored 34 goals while giving up 24 in that period. On the power play, 35 opportunities have resulted in seven goals (20.0% success rate).

Lightning vs. Sabres Predictions for Sunday

Our computer model for this game calls for a final result of Lightning 4, Sabres 3.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-125)
Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Sabres (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning have a 39-18-4 record overall, with a 9-4-13 record in contests that have gone to overtime.
In the 18 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 8-8-2 record (good for 18 points).
In the seven games this season the Lightning scored just one goal, they went 2-4-1 (five points).
Tampa Bay has finished 4-6-3 in the 13 games this season when it scored two goals (registering 11 points).
The Lightning have scored at least three goals in 39 games (33-6-0, 66 points).
In the 21 games when Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 13-6-2 to record 28 points.
In the 34 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 20-11-3 (43 points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 26 games, going 18-7-1 to register 37 points.
Sabres Splits and Trends

The Sabres have a 38-19-6 record this season and are 6-6-12 in matchups that have needed overtime.
Buffalo has earned 22 points (8-2-6) in its 16 games decided by one goal.
This season the Sabres recorded just one goal in six games and they finished 0-5-1 in those matchups.
When Buffalo has scored two goals this season, they’ve earned six points (3-7-0 record).
The Sabres have earned 75 points in their 44 games with three or more goals scored.
Buffalo has scored a single power-play goal in 24 games this season and has registered 34 points from those matchups.
When it outshoots its opponent this season, Buffalo has posted a record of 12-8-2 (26 points).
The Sabres have been outshot by opponents in 41 games, going 26-11-4 to record 56 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Sabres Game Time and TV Channel

When: Sunday, March 8, 2026 at 6 p.m. ET
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
Where: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, New York

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