The Tampa Bay Lightning (39-19-4) take on the Columbus Blue Jackets (32-21-10) at Benchmark International Arena on Tuesday, March 10 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with each team back in action after a loss. The Lightning were defeated by the Buffalo Sabres 8-7 in their last game, while the Blue Jackets are coming off a 5-4 overtime loss to the Los Angeles Kings.

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Here’s our pick for who will claim the victory in Tuesday’s matchup.

In the past 10 contests, the Blue Jackets have registered a 6-1-3 record after scoring 37 total goals (four power-play goals on 19 power-play opportunities during that time, for a success rate of 21.1%). Their opponents have scored a combined 28 goals in those games.

Lightning vs. Blue Jackets Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projection model for this game predicts a final tally of Lightning 4, Blue Jackets 2.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-250)
Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning (39-19-4 overall) have a 9-4-13 record in contests that have gone to overtime.
In the 19 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 8-9-2 record (good for 18 points).
In the seven games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they went 2-4-1 (five points).
Tampa Bay has scored a pair of goals in 13 games this season (4-6-3 record, 11 points).
The Lightning have scored three or more goals 40 times, and are 33-7-0 in those games (to register 66 points).
In the 22 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a single power-play goal, it has a 13-7-2 record (28 points).
When it has outshot opponents, Tampa Bay is 20-11-3 (43 points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 27 times, and went 18-8-1 (37 points).
Blue Jackets Splits and Trends

The Blue Jackets have a record of 32-21-10 this season and are 10-10-20 in overtime matchups.
In the 26 games Columbus has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 29 points.
Across the 11 games this season the Blue Jackets finished with just one goal, they have earned six points.
Columbus failed to win all eight games this season when it scored exactly two goals.
The Blue Jackets have scored more than two goals in 42 games, earning 68 points from those contests.
Columbus has scored a single power-play goal in 19 games this season and has registered 28 points from those matchups.
When it outshoots its opponent this season, Columbus has posted a record of 18-11-6 (42 points).
The Blue Jackets’ opponents have had more shots in 26 games. The Blue Jackets went 13-9-4 in those contests (30 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Blue Jackets Game Time and TV Channel

When: Tuesday, March 10, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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