In tonight’s edition of Sportsnet‘s Wednesday Night Hockey in Canada between the Montreal Canadiens and the Ottawa Senators, there remains lots to decide in the Atlantic Division Stanley Cup Playoff picture, as we stare out to the great capital of Canada along the Rideau Canal. Will those Pesky Sens prove too much, or will the young and talented Habs strike on the road? Find out our thoughts with analysis, statistics, and key storylines on NHL Predictions with Last Word On Hockey.

NHL Predictions Canadiens and Senators

Season Series: The fourth and final matchup, as the Habs won two in overtime and the other was a 5-2 Sen victory.

Puck Drop: 7:30 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time (EDT) | 4:30 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (PDT)

How to Watch: Sportsnet, RDS

Location: The fantastic Canadian Tire Centre in Kanata, Ontario.

This is a key matchup in the Atlantic Division standings. That’s not to mention the historical rivalry between the two sides. So, let’s get sensational.

Some Sens Notes

One key note for the Senators, is that Tim Stutzle is riding a 12-game point streak. He already had a 13-game streak around the end of 2025 into 2026. Needless to say, he has catapulted himself among the star class of the NHL. If people doubted his star power, they need not wonder anymore. With 68 points in 63 games, he is still trying to put a run in on his career-high 90 points, back in 2022-23.

The Current Impact of the Jake Sanderson Injury on Ottawa Senators Playoff Push

The Habs with a Sniper of their Own

For the Montreal Canadiens, it is hard to go without talking about ‘Goal’ Cole Caufield…a de but. In 2025-26, Caufield is tied with Dylan Larkin for second in game-winning goals. They are one behind the leader Steven Stamkos with nine.

Another key stat, is most career overtime goals. Perhaps unsurprisingly, most of the list is full of active players. Alex Ovechkin is credited with the most (27), followed by his arch nemesis, Sidney Crosby (25). If we go down the list in 44th, Claude Giroux, has 13 in 1,326 career NHL games. Then just one spot below him is Caufield, in a remarkably efficient 350 games. Furthermore, if you search up the list, no one above him on the list has achieved their respective goal total in fewer games. One player who is close is Kirill Kaprizov, who has 14 in 383 career games. To really put it in perspective, of those with more overtime goals than Caufield, besides Kaprizov, the next fewest games played is 672 (Jack Eichel). In any sense, Caufield’s propensity for clutch performances is really something to appreciate as a Habs fan.

The Matchup, from a Team Perspective

The Atlantic Division standings are a bit tipsy-turvy, ya heard. Between sixth and first place, is only 13 points. Still remarkably close, even if there has been some differentiators having taken over. Something like the two front-runners, the Buffalo Sabres and the Tampa Bay Lightning. They had an iconic matchup on Sunday if anyone wants to watch highlights of how a competitive NHL game in Buffalo feels like. However, we are here to talk about two teams, the Habs and Sens, who are in that next pack. If you consider three-to-six in the division, the top is Montreal with 80 points, and sixth is Ottawa at 73. The Boston Bruins and Detroit Red Wings are sandwiched in there, in case you’re curious.

It is interesting that Montreal is 17-7-8 on the road this season. Meanwhile, Ottawa is only 14-10-5 on home ice. These are those crucial two points they talk about at the cottage in Muskoka on a dock on a warm July evening.

The Goalies for Tonight’s Game

The goaltending matchup will very likely see Sam Montembeault up against Linus Ullmark. Both teams saw the other tender suit up in their previous outing. Therefore, we do expect the two expected guys, will eventually be confirmed. Monty is 10-8-4 on the season with an .872 save percentage and a 3.43 goals-against average. In contrast, Ullmark holds a 19-8-7 standing. He has done that with a 2.84 GAA and an .884 SV%. Look for the Sens to count on that advantage. Also, it is a great time for our disclaimer. Please check social media prior to puck drop, to see definitely who gets the nod, before setting your fantasy roster for the day.

However, it has been noteworthy, on the Sens turnaround. If we look at their goaltending, there has been a significant cut-off, being on January 25th. Since then, they have been on fire. Before that, their save percentage was still operating at historic lows (.865). But since that date, they are 9-1-2, and have played to a much more solid .901 team save percentage. If that play continues, playoffs will come, even if it is still so tight.

The Senators are finally getting saves.
Since January 25th, Ottawa has the 2nd best record in the league and the lowest goals against average. pic.twitter.com/Hhi5nqIA55

— Mike Kelly (@MikeKellyNHL) March 10, 2026

NHL Predictions

Ottawa has a lot more at stake for this game. Being at home and lower in the standings, we think they prevail. Montreal is also on the second-half of a back-to-back, having handled Toronto 3-1 last evening.

Prediction: Canadiens 2 – Senators 4.

Prop Bets

With our classic anytime goal scorers, we like Dylan Cozens for Ottawa and Nick Suzuki for Montreal. Cozens has been doing it all lately for the Sens, with five goals in his last five games. Meanwhile, Suzuki has nine points in his last five games. Look for them to hit the goal column.

Main Photo Credit: Eric Bolte-Imagn Images

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