The Toronto Maple Leafs (27-27-11) will attempt to stop an eight-game home losing streak when they face the Anaheim Ducks (36-25-3) on March 12 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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To prepare for this matchup, here’s who we predict to secure the win in Thursday’s hockey game.

The Maple Leafs have a 2-6-2 record over their past 10 games. They have scored 24 total goals (six power-play goals on 21 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 28.6%) while allowing 32 goals to their opponents.

Ducks vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this contest expects a final result of Maple Leafs 4, Ducks 3.

Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-108)
Total Pick: Over 6.5 (computer predicts 6.7 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Ducks Splits and Trends

The Ducks are 36-25-3 overall and 15-3-18 in overtime games.
Anaheim is 12-4-3 (27 points) in its 19 games decided by one goal.
Looking at the nine times this season the Ducks ended a game with just one goal, they have a 1-7-1 record, good for three points.
Anaheim has finished 4-5-0 in the nine games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering eight points).
The Ducks have scored more than two goals 42 times, and are 31-9-2 in those games (to register 64 points).
In the 18 games when Anaheim has recorded a lone power-play goal, it has a 14-2-2 record (30 points).
In the 33 games when it outshot its opponent, Anaheim is 20-12-1 (41 points).
The Ducks’ opponents have had more shots in 26 games. The Ducks went 14-10-2 in those contests (30 points).
Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

The Maple Leafs have a record of 27-27-11 this season and are 8-11-19 in overtime games.
Toronto has earned 30 points (11-3-8) in its 22 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
This season the Maple Leafs recorded just one goal in seven games and they’ve earned two points (0-5-2) in those contests.
Toronto has earned 14 points (5-10-4 record) this season when scoring a pair of goals .
The Maple Leafs have scored more than two goals 38 times, earning 49 points from those matchups (22-11-5).
Toronto has scored a lone power-play goal in 21 games this season and has registered 18 points from those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Toronto is 6-8-2 (14 points).
The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 47 times this season, and earned 47 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Ducks vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

When: Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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