The Tampa Bay Lightning (40-21-4) and Seattle Kraken (31-26-9) meet at Climate Pledge Arena on Tuesday, March 17 at 10 p.m. ET on TNT. The Lightning fell to the Carolina Hurricanes 4-2 in their most recent game, while the Kraken are coming off a 6-2 win over the Florida Panthers.

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Before watching this matchup, here is our prediction for which squad will secure the win in Tuesday’s hockey action.

The Kraken’s offense has totaled 29 goals in their past 10 games, while their defense has given up 32 goals. They have had 31 power-play opportunities during that span, and have scored four goals (12.9%). They are 4-6-0 over those contests.

Lightning vs. Kraken Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projection model for this matchup predicts a final tally of Lightning 4, Kraken 3.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-195)
Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 5.7 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Kraken (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning are 40-21-4 overall and 9-4-13 in overtime games.
Tampa Bay has 18 points (8-9-2) in the 19 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
In the seven games this season the Lightning recorded only one goal, they went 2-4-1 (five points).
Tampa Bay has scored a pair of goals in 15 games this season (4-8-3 record, 11 points).
The Lightning have scored at least three goals in 41 games (34-7-0, 68 points).
In the 23 games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it went 14-7-2 to register 30 points.
In the 35 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 21-11-3 (45 points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 29 times, and went 18-10-1 (37 points).
Kraken Splits and Trends

The Kraken have a 31-26-9 record this season and are 6-9-15 in contests that have gone to overtime.
Seattle has earned 25 points (10-5-5) in its 20 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
This season the Kraken scored just one goal in nine games and they finished 0-8-1 in those matchups.
Seattle has earned eight points (2-10-4 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
The Kraken have scored three or more goals 39 times, earning 61 points from those matchups (29-7-3).
This season, Seattle has scored a lone power-play goal in 30 games has a record of 15-8-7 in those matchups.
When it outshoots its opponent this season, Seattle has posted a record of 6-11-2 (14 points).
The Kraken have been outshot by opponents in 42 games, going 23-14-5 to record 51 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Kraken Game Time and TV Channel

When: Tuesday, March 17, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
TV Channel: TNT
Live Stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
Where: Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington

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