The Tampa Bay Lightning (43-21-4) visit the Calgary Flames (28-34-7) at Scotiabank Saddledome on Sunday, March 22 at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Lightning have won three games in a row.

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Before watching this matchup, here is our prediction for which squad will emerge victorious in Sunday’s hockey action.

The Flames are 4-6-0 in their last 10 contests, scoring 24 goals while allowing 35 in that period. On 26 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored three goals (11.5%).

Lightning vs. Flames Predictions for Sunday

Our computer model for this matchup predicts a final result of Lightning 4, Flames 3.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-179)
Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 5.7 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Flames (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning are 43-21-4 overall and 9-4-13 in overtime games.
In the 19 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 8-9-2 record (good for 18 points).
In the seven games this season the Lightning scored just one goal, they went 2-4-1 (five points).
Tampa Bay has taken 11 points from the 15 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (4-8-3 record).
The Lightning are 37-7-0 in the 44 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 74 points).
In the 25 games when Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 16-7-2 to record 34 points.
In the 37 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 23-11-3 (49 points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 29 times, and went 18-10-1 (37 points).
Flames Splits and Trends

The Flames have a 28-34-7 record this season and are 5-7-12 in contests that have needed overtime.
In the 19 games Calgary has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 22 points.
This season the Flames recorded just one goal in 18 games and have gone 1-15-2 (four points).
Calgary has earned 15 points (7-8-1 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
The Flames have earned 43 points in their 30 games with three or more goals scored.
Calgary has scored a single power-play goal in 17 games this season and has registered 17 points from those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Calgary is 11-15-3 (25 points).
The Flames’ opponents have had more shots in 38 games. The Flames went 16-18-4 in those contests (36 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Flames Game Time and TV Channel

When: Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
Where: Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, Alberta

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