The Tampa Bay Lightning (43-21-4) will attempt to prolong a three-game win streak when they play the Calgary Flames (28-34-7) on the road on Sunday, March 22 at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Get ready for this matchup by checking out our pick for who will win the game in Sunday’s hockey action.

Over the past 10 games, the Flames are 4-6-0 while totaling 24 total goals (three power-play goals on 26 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 11.5%). They have conceded 35 goals.

Lightning vs. Flames Predictions for Sunday

Our computer model for this game predicts a final tally of Lightning 4, Flames 3.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-175)
Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 5.7 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Flames (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning are 43-21-4 overall and 9-4-13 in overtime games.
Tampa Bay is 8-9-2 (18 points) in its 19 games decided by one goal.
The seven times this season the Lightning finished a game with just one goal, they went 2-4-1 (five points).
Tampa Bay has scored exactly two goals in 15 games this season (4-8-3 record, 11 points).
The Lightning are 37-7-0 in the 44 games when they have scored three or more goals (to record 74 points).
In the 25 games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it has a 16-7-2 record (34 points).
In the 37 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 23-11-3 (49 points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 29 games, going 18-10-1 to record 37 points.
Flames Splits and Trends

The Flames have a 28-34-7 record this season and are 5-7-12 in contests that have needed overtime.
Calgary has earned 22 points (9-6-4) in its 19 games decided by one goal.
In 18 games this season when the Flames ended a game with just one goal, they earned a total of four points (1-15-2).
When Calgary has scored a pair of goals this season, they’ve earned 15 points (7-8-1 record).
The Flames have scored more than two goals 30 times, earning 43 points from those matchups (20-7-3).
Calgary has scored a single power-play goal in 17 games this season and has registered 17 points from those matchups.
When it outshoots its opponent this season, Calgary has posted a record of 11-15-3 (25 points).
The Flames have been outshot by opponents 38 times this season, and earned 36 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Flames Game Time and TV Channel

When: Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
Where: Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, Alberta

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