The Eastern Conference’s third-ranked squad, the Tampa Bay Lightning (43-21-5), host the third-ranked team from the Western Conference, the Minnesota Wild (40-19-12), on Tuesday, March 24 at 7:30 p.m. ET on TNT.

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Prepare for this matchup with a look at who we project to come out on top in Tuesday’s game.

Over the last 10 contests, the Wild have gone 5-3-2 while totaling 29 total goals (five power-play goals on 32 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 15.6%). They have allowed 20 goals.

Lightning vs. Wild Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projection model for this encounter calls for a final score of Lightning 4, Wild 2.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-177)
Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 5.8 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Pick Em

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning have a 43-21-5 record overall, with a 9-5-14 record in contests that have required overtime.
In the 20 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 8-9-3 record (good for 19 points).
The seven times this season the Lightning ended a game with just one goal, they went 2-4-1 (five points).
Tampa Bay has finished 4-8-3 in the 15 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering 11 points).
The Lightning have scored at least three goals in 45 games (37-7-1, 75 points).
In the 25 games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it has a 16-7-2 record (34 points).
In the 38 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 23-11-4 (50 points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 29 games, going 18-10-1 to record 37 points.
Wild Splits and Trends

The Wild have a record of 40-19-12 this season and are 15-12-27 in overtime matchups.
Minnesota has earned 33 points (13-3-7) in its 23 games decided by one goal.
Across the 10 games this season the Wild finished with only one goal, they have earned four points.
Minnesota has 12 points (4-9-4) when scoring two goals this season.
The Wild have scored at least three goals in 44 games, earning 76 points from those contests.
This season, Minnesota has scored a single power-play goal in 32 games has a record of 18-8-6 in those matchups.
When it outshoots its opponent this season, Minnesota has posted a record of 18-8-5 (41 points).
The Wild have been outshot by opponents 39 times this season, and earned 49 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Wild Game Time and TV Channel

When: Tuesday, March 24, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
TV Channel: TNT
Live Stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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