The Tampa Bay Lightning (45-21-6), coming off a 4-2 win over the Ottawa Senators, host the Nashville Predators (34-30-9) at Benchmark International Arena on Sunday, March 29 at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Predators were defeated by the Montreal Canadiens 4-1 in their most recent outing.

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Here is our prediction for who will secure the win in Sunday’s game.

The Predators are 6-3-1 over the past 10 contests, putting up 30 total goals (five power-play goals on 24 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 20.8%). They have given up 24 goals to their opponents.

Lightning vs. Predators Predictions for Sunday

Our computer projection model for this encounter predicts a final tally of Lightning 4, Predators 2.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-201)
Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.1 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning have finished 9-6-15 in overtime games on their way to an overall record of 45-21-6.
In the 21 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 8-9-4 record (good for 20 points).
In the seven games this season the Lightning registered just one goal, they went 2-4-1 (five points).
Tampa Bay has taken 11 points from the 15 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (4-8-3 record).
The Lightning have scored at least three goals 48 times, and are 39-7-2 in those games (to record 80 points).
In the 26 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a lone power-play goal, it went 16-7-3 to register 35 points.
In the 40 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 24-11-5 (53 points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 30 times, and went 19-10-1 (39 points).
Predators Splits and Trends

The Predators have a 9-9-18 record in overtime games this season and a 34-30-9 overall record.
Nashville has earned 36 points (14-5-8) in its 27 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
This season the Predators scored just one goal in eight games and they’ve earned two points (1-7-0) in those contests.
Nashville has 16 points (5-14-6) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
The Predators have scored more than two goals 37 times, earning 59 points from those matchups (28-6-3).
This season, Nashville has recorded a lone power-play goal in 32 games has a record of 16-13-3 in those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Nashville is 13-11-3 (29 points).
The Predators have been outshot by opponents 44 times this season, and earned 44 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Predators Game Time and TV Channel

When: Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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