NHL Betting Preview: Stars vs Flyers
The Dallas Stars meet the Philadelphia Flyers at Xfinity Mobile Arena, with face-off scheduled for 16:00 on Sunday, March 29.
Stars Look the Smart Pick
We are having a wager on the Stars to beat the Flyers in 60 minutes. You can back our pick at +102 on the 3-Way Moneyline and we think this offers good value.
9 Triumphs for Stars in Previous 10 H2H Clashes
Dallas Stars won their previous game 6-3. This was a road victory at PPG PAINTS Arena against Pittsburgh Penguins. Mavrik Bourque racked up 3 points, including 2 goals and 1 assist.
Philadelphia Flyers won their last game 5-3, making it back-to-back successes. This was a road victory at Little Caesars Arena against Detroit Red Wings. Owen Tippett recorded a hat trick and 1 assist.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Stars won the last encounter between the pair. Enjoying a 5-1 triumph when facing the Flyers at American Airlines Center. The Stars have three straight victories against the Flyers. They have won 9 of the 10 previous head-to-head meetings.
Starting Goalies
Casey DeSmith (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
14-7-5
2.4
.908
1
23/24
12-9-4
2.89
.895
1
Samuel Ersson (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
12-10-5
3.2
.867
0
23/24
23-19-7
2.82
.890
4
Dallas Stars – Last 10 Games
5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.0 goals from 24.0 shots on goal, with a 18.0% powerplay efficiency. The Stars have given up 2.8 goals from 26.2 shots, averaging 4.4 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.9%.
Jason Robertson is the top points scorer with 13 points, 6 goals and 7 assists, with Wyatt Johnston racking up 11 points, 6 goals and 5 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Jake Oettinger have a 2.29 goal against average with a .911 save percentage.
Philadelphia Flyers – Last 10 Games
The Flyers have 7 wins, 2 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.1 goals from 27.2 shots on goal, with a 11.4% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.3 goals from 26.5 shots, averaging 4.3 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 81.4%.
The top points scorer is Owen Tippett with 11 points, 7 goals and 4 assists, while Noah Cates is next best after registering 9 points, 5 goals and 4 assists. Goalie Daniel Vladar have a 2.66 GAA with a .904 SV%.
Dallas Stars vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction & Picks
Take in the full Dallas Stars vs Philadelphia Flyers betting outlook — from our expert match prediction and correct score pick to player prop insights and a bet builder tailored for value.
Game Prediction
There are many reasons to support the pick that Dallas Stars will win this NHL clash. Therefore, we’re heading to the 60-minute line where you can get odds of +102.
It’s important to know which players are unavailable for the upcoming action along with the current form of each NHL franchise. If you’re after stats, you’re in the right place because they form the foundation of our hockey picks.
Key Stars vs Flyers stats:
Stars have won 7 of their last 10 games on the road.Stars have won 14 of their last 20 games.Flyers have lost 13 of their last 20 games at home.Flyers have lost 6 of their last 10 games at home.Flyers have lost their last 3 games against Stars.Stars 3-Way Moneyline Probability
The best sportsbooks make it a 49.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this hockey bet.
Looking for Bigger Odds?
There are some value betting options beyond simply backing Dallas to win, with the Puck Line, Winning Margin and Match Winner & Total Goals viable alternatives to get more juice.
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Our Game Prediction
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 28, 20:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 20:56, 28 March 2026
Player Prop Picks
Owen Tippett (Flyers) has covered the 2.5 shots on goal total in 6 straight games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Shots on Goal and you can get -175 that he goes over the line.
Latest Owen Tippett Player Prop Odds
Goals
Assists
Shots on Goal
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Dallas Stars vs Philadelphia Flyers Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Close Encounter in the Eyes of the Books
Dallas Stars are regarded as having a 61% chance of winning this game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -156. At +130, Philadelphia Flyers are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
1.5 is where the puck line lies, with total goals being 5.5 right now. There are many ways to wager on hockey including Totals. If you want to back Over 5.5, it’s -128.
If you’re looking to place a National Hockey League wager, head to the top betting apps and explore the wide range of team props and game lines. Take your time to find the lines and odds that offer the best value.
Jason Robertson Favorite to Light the Lamp First
Jason Robertson can be backed to find the net at anytime at +155. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +1000.
Player Goals
Jason Robertson (Stars)
Wyatt Johnston (Stars)
Travis Konecny (Flyers)
Mikko Rantanen (Stars)
Player Assists
Mikko Rantanen (Stars)
Miro Heiskanen (Stars)
Jason Robertson (Stars)
Matt Duchene (Stars)
Player Shots
Jason Robertson (Stars)
Wyatt Johnston (Stars)
Travis Konecny (Flyers)
Mikko Rantanen (Stars)
Micro Betting
There are always opportunities to enjoy NHL micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as the Next Goal or Next Goalscorer.
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Dallas Stars Stats
Philadelphia Flyers Stats
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games
-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games on the road
+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.40 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 5.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.40 pts and allowed 2.00 goals in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 5.70 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 4.80 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 5.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.30 goals and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.40 goals and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.9
Shots: 24
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 4.4
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 9.4
Blocks: 12.9
Faceoff Wins : 25.3
Hits: 21.7
Giveaways: 13.4
Takeaways: 4.8
Last 10 Games on the Road
Goals Powerplay: 0.9
Shots: 28.4
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 2.7
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 5.4
Blocks: 14.2
Faceoff Wins : 28.7
Hits: 19.3
Giveaways: 14.4
Takeaways: 4.7
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.5
Shots: 27.2
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 4.3
Empty Net Goals: 0.3
Penalty Minutes: 10.1
Blocks: 11.5
Faceoff Wins : 27.1
Hits: 21.2
Giveaways: 14.4
Takeaways: 5
Last 10 Home Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.3
Shots: 23.5
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 3.1
Empty Net Goals: 0.3
Penalty Minutes: 7.1
Blocks: 13.3
Faceoff Wins : 27.9
Hits: 23.5
Giveaways: 15.4
Takeaways: 4
Starting Lineups
Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.
Expert Analysis by Kevin Thompson
NHL Analyst
About the Analyst
Our ice hockey previews are produced by a specialised team of analysts, former odds compilers and sports journalists. Picks are research-driven and reviewed for accuracy and editorial consistency under the oversight of our hockey panel and Editor-in-Chief.
NHL Predictions Methodology
Our NHL analysis combines the latest team news, injury reports and line changes with recent form and market movement. We factor in situational analysis like home ice advantage and schedule spots. Metrics such as Corsi, Fenwick, Expected Goals (xG) and PDO are used to evaluate puck possession, shot quality, goaltending performance and special teams efficiency beyond the traditional box score.
Full Methodology & Data Sources
Where to Bet
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Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on Mar 28, 22:28 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, confirmed lines and pairings, starting goaltenders, lineup changes, schedule context, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.
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