March 30, 2026, 12:23 a.m. ET

The Pittsburgh Penguins (36-21-16) and New York Islanders (42-27-5) meet Monday. Puck drop from UBS Arena in Elmont, New York, is set for 7 p.m. ET (NHL Network). Let’s analyze NHL odds around the Penguins vs. Islanders odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1 with each team winning at home — Pittsburgh won 4-3 Oct. 9 while New York won 5-4 in OT Feb. 3

The Penguins dropped their third in 4 games, falling 6-3 to the Dallas Stars Saturday as +112 home underdogs, with the Over (6) cashing. G Stuart Skinner allowed 4 goals on 24 shots. D Erik Karlsson, RW Anthony Mantha and C Noel Acciari scored, while C Sidney Crosby and C Evgeni Malkin remained out.

The Islanders won their third in 4 games, beating the Florida Panthers 5-2 Saturday as -205 home favorites, with the Over (5.5) cashing. G Ilya Sorokin stopped 17 of 19 shots. C Brayden Schenn had a goal and 2 assists, RW Simon Holmstrom and LW Emil Heineman also scored, and D Matthew Schaefer added 2 assists to tie Stefan Persson’s 1978-79 franchise rookie defenseman record of 56 points. Schaefer is 1 goal shy of tying former New York Rangers star Brian Leetch’s NHL rookie defenseman record of 23 goals set in 1989-90 season.

Watch the NHL on Fubo!Penguins at Islanders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:14 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Penguins +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Islanders -125 (bet $125 to win $100)Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Penguins +1.5 (-225) | Islanders -1.5 (+185)Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -118 | U: -102)Penguins at Islanders projected goalies

Stuart Skinner (21-15-9, 2.90 GAA, .887 SV%, 2 SO) vs. Ilya Sorokin (27-18-2, 2.53 GAA, .912 SV%, 6 SO)

Skinner continues to struggle, posting a 2-3-0-3 record in March with a 3.54 GAA and .879 SV%. He was hit hard by the Islanders Feb. 3, allowing 5 goals on 23 shots. Overall, Skinner is 2-2-1 vs. New York with a 3.02 GAA and .878 SV% in 5 career games.

Sorokin picked up his third win in 4 starts, but March has been up and down overall (6-5-0, 2.50 GAA, .910 SV%). He faced the Penguins Feb. 3, allowing 4 goals on 35 shots. Still, Sorokin has had success in the matchup, going 12-6-0 with a 3.20 GAA, and .904 SV% in 18 career games.

Penguins at Islanders picks and predictionsPrediction

Islanders 4, Penguins 3

BET ISLANDERS (-125).

The Islanders are in a strong spot at home against Pittsburgh in a tight Metropolitan Division race. With just 1 point separating the teams, this is a must-have game for New York — and they’ve already proven they can beat Pittsburgh, which enters dealing with key injuries. Crosby and Malkin are both banged up, while C Blake Lizotte remains out. That’s a major concern against a motivated Islanders team.

With Sorokin providing steady goaltending and New York playing with urgency at home, the Islanders have the edge in both health and momentum — making them a strong moneyline play.

PASS. No interest.

BET OVER 6 (-118).

The Over has been a strong trend when the Penguins and Islanders meet, hitting in 8 of the last 10 matchups and both games this season. Pittsburgh has gone Over in 9 of its last 10, while New York has seen it hit in 2 of its last 3.

Both teams combine for over 6 goals per game and allow 6.1 combined, making this total very reachable. With recent trends and offensive output on both sides, this sets up well for another high-scoring game.

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