NHL Betting Preview: Maple Leafs vs Sharks
The Toronto Maple Leafs go up against the San Jose Sharks at SAP Center, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Thursday, April 2.
Leafs Look a Great Bet to Win
There is a strong case that the Maple Leafs will end up winning and that means betting the visitors on the Moneyline. You can get a value -102 that they overcome the Sharks.
Last H2H Saw Sharks Triumph in Overtime
Toronto Maple Leafs triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Anaheim Ducks were beaten 5-4 (OT) at Honda Center. John Tavares registered two goals, with Morgan Rielly, William Nylander and Matthew Knies also finding the net.
San Jose Sharks have enjoyed three straight wins, most recently beating Anaheim Ducks 4-3. It was a home success at SAP Center. Macklin Celebrini scored two goals, with Will Smith and Alexander Wennberg also scoring.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was the Sharks who came out on top when they last played the Leafs. At Scotiabank Arena, a 3-2 win was recorded. The Sharks have enjoyed three consecutive victories against the Leafs. They’ve landed 6 wins from the past 10 head-to-head meetings.
Starting Goalies
Joseph Woll (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
15-14-6
3.2
.904
2
23/24
12-11-1
2.93
.907
0
Alex Nedeljkovic (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
14-13-4
3
.893
0
23/24
18-7-7
2.97
.902
1
Toronto Maple Leafs – Last 10 Games
5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.2 goals from 23.4 shots on goal, with a 14.3% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have given up 3.4 goals from 35.8 shots, averaging 6.5 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 84.6%.
John Tavares is the top points scorer with 12 points, 6 goals and 6 assists, with William Nylander recording 11 points, 4 goals and 7 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Joseph Woll have a 3.69 goal against average with a .903 save percentage.
San Jose Sharks – Last 10 Games
The Sharks have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.8 goals from 26.4 shots on goal, with a 24.1% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 4.0 goals from 25.5 shots, averaging 3.5 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 80.0%.
The top points scorer is Macklin Celebrini with 14 points, 7 goals and 7 assists, while Will Smith is next best after registering 9 points, 3 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Alex Nedeljkovic have a 3.67 GAA with a .851 SV%.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs San Jose Sharks Prediction & Picks
Our Toronto Maple Leafs vs San Jose Sharks tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast and bet builder picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.
Game Prediction
For this NHL clash, our pick is Toronto Maple Leafs to have the edge over the home team and we think that the -102 represents an attractive wager on the Moneyline.
Our hockey picks are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each franchise. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant NHL stats that help guide and strengthen our predictions.
Key Maple Leafs vs Sharks stats:
Maple Leafs have won 3 of their last 5 games.Sharks have lost 6 of their last 10 games.Sharks have lost 12 of their last 20 games.Leafs Moneyline Probability
Based on the odds from the top NHL sportsbooks, there’s a 50.5% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
Looking for Bigger Odds?
There are ways to boost the odds on a Moneyline pick and some bettors take the Bet Builder option. It’s effectively a same-game parlay where you throw in other selections.
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Our Game Prediction
Maple Leafs Moneyline @ -102
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 1, 23:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 23:56, 01 April 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs vs San Jose Sharks Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Latest Moneyline Odds Suggest a Close-Run Battle
The betting odds about San Jose Sharks winning is -120, with Toronto Maple Leafs priced up at -100 to achieve victory. In the eyes of the leading sportsbooks, the home team are regarded as 55% likely to claim a victory.
The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 6.5. A wager on Totals allows bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you’re keen on Over 6.5, this selection is available at -102.
The best betting apps provide an extensive range of team props and game lines for every National Hockey League matchup. Take the time to explore all your options before placing your bet to ensure you find the best value.
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Toronto Maple Leafs Stats
San Jose Sharks Stats
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games
+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 6.70 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.50 pts and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 6.80 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 4.00 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.7
Shots: 23.4
Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
Penalties: 6.5
Empty Net Goals: 0.3
Penalty Minutes: 20
Blocks: 9.7
Faceoff Wins : 26.9
Hits: 23.9
Giveaways: 17.5
Takeaways: 4.5
Last 10 Games on the Road
Goals Powerplay: 0.6
Shots: 24.2
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 5.2
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 14.8
Blocks: 10.5
Faceoff Wins : 26.7
Hits: 22.6
Giveaways: 16.9
Takeaways: 4.4
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.7
Shots: 26.4
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 3.5
Empty Net Goals: 0.1
Penalty Minutes: 9
Blocks: 13.7
Faceoff Wins : 28
Hits: 22.8
Giveaways: 18.2
Takeaways: 4.9
Last 10 Home Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.8
Shots: 28.3
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 4
Empty Net Goals: 0.1
Penalty Minutes: 9.5
Blocks: 15.1
Faceoff Wins : 28.5
Hits: 24.3
Giveaways: 16.6
Takeaways: 4.9
Starting Lineups
Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.
Expert Analysis by Kevin Thompson
NHL Analyst
About the Analyst
Our ice hockey previews are produced by a specialised team of analysts, former odds compilers and sports journalists. Picks are research-driven and reviewed for accuracy and editorial consistency under the oversight of our hockey panel and Editor-in-Chief.
NHL Predictions Methodology
Our NHL analysis combines the latest team news, injury reports and line changes with recent form and market movement. We factor in situational analysis like home ice advantage and schedule spots. Metrics such as Corsi, Fenwick, Expected Goals (xG) and PDO are used to evaluate puck possession, shot quality, goaltending performance and special teams efficiency beyond the traditional box score.
Full Methodology & Data Sources
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Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on Apr 1, 23:56 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, confirmed lines and pairings, starting goaltenders, lineup changes, schedule context, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.
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