A game after Anthony Cirelli recorded a hat trick in the Tampa Bay Lightning’s 6-3 win against the Pittsburgh Penguins, the Lightning (47-22-6) host the Boston Bruins (43-25-8) on Saturday at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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As hockey play continues, prepare for the contest by checking out which team we predict will win Saturday’s game.

Over the last 10 contests, the Bruins are 6-2-2 while totaling 37 goals against 27 goals allowed. On 28 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored six goals (21.4%).

Lightning vs. Bruins Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projection model for this matchup predicts a final score of Lightning 4, Bruins 2.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-184)
Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning (47-22-6 overall) have a 9-6-15 record in games that have required overtime.
Tampa Bay is 9-9-4 (22 points) in its 22 games decided by one goal.
In the eight games this season the Lightning registered only one goal, they went 2-5-1 (five points).
Tampa Bay has scored a pair of goals in 15 games this season (4-8-3 record, 11 points).
The Lightning are 41-7-2 in the 50 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 84 points).
In the 26 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a lone power-play goal, it registered 35 points after finishing 16-7-3.
In the 42 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 25-12-5 (55 points).
The Lightning’s opponents have had more shots in 31 games. The Lightning finished 20-10-1 in those contests (41 points).
Bruins Splits and Trends

The Bruins have a record of 43-25-8 this season and are 12-8-20 in overtime contests.
In the 27 games Boston has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 35 points.
In nine games this season when the Bruins finished a game with just one goal, they earned a total of three points (1-7-1).
When Boston has scored a pair of goals this season, they’ve earned 13 points (6-9-1 record).
The Bruins have scored three or more goals 51 times, earning 78 points from those matchups (36-9-6).
Boston has scored a single power-play goal in 34 games this season and has recorded 39 points from those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Boston is 16-11-3 (35 points).
The Bruins’ opponents have had more shots in 44 games. The Bruins went 27-12-5 in those matchups (59 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Bruins Game Time and TV Channel

When: Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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