Todd Cordell
• Betting Analyst
12+ years betting experience
Updated:
Apr 4, 2026 , 10:07 AM ET
• 3 min read
Cordell’s Prediction: William Nylander will let the shots fly at LA.
EXPERT PICK – PROP
William Nylander o2.5 Shots On Goal (-115)
Photo By – Reuters Connect. William Nylander of the Toronto Maple Leafs NHL
William Nylander has been a shooting machine on this California road trip, combining for 17 shot attempts over the first two games for the Toronto Maple Leafs.
My Maple Leafs vs. Kings predictions expect Nylander to continue piling up the shots against a Los Angeles Kings team that hasn’t tightened up since the coaching change.
Let’s take a closer look at my NHL picks for Saturday, April 4.
Maple Leafs vs Kings prediction
Maple Leafs vs Kings best bet: William Nylander Over 2.5 shots (-115)
William Nylander’s shot volume is on the rise. Excluding Top-10 shot suppression teams, Nylander has averaged 4.0 shots on 7.2 attempts over his past five games for the Toronto Maple Leafs.
A lot of his volume comes from the slot, where the Los Angeles Kings have struggled to defend of late. They rank 28th in slot shots allowed, spanning their last 10 games.
They have a reputation as a buttoned-up defensive team, but that hasn’t necessarily been the case. The Kings have also allowed shots and goals at a higher rate since moving on from head coach Jim Hiller.
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Maple Leafs vs Kings same-game parlay
The training wheels are off for rookie Easton Cowan. He is riding shotgun with Nylander and John Tavares on the top line and skating on the No. 1 power play and making the most of it, having tallied five points over his last six.
The trio of Cowan, Tavares, and Nylander has outscored opponents 12-5 over 150 minutes of 5-on-5 play. Factor in that they all correlate on the power play, and it’s easy to get excited about backing all three.
Maple Leafs vs Kings SGP
William Nylander Over 2.5 shots
Easton Cowan Over 0.5 points
John Tavares Over 0.5 points
Maple Leafs vs Kings odds
Moneyline: Maple Leafs +145 | Kings -170
Puck Line: Maple Leafs +1.5 (-170) | Kings -1.5 (+145)
Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-135) | Under 5.5 (+115)
Maple Leafs vs Kings trend
William Nylander has recorded 3+ shots in five of his last seven against Los Angeles. Find more NHL betting trends for Maple Leafs vs. Kings.
How to watch Maple Leafs vs Kings
Location
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Date
Saturday, April 4, 2026
Puck drop
7:00 p.m. ET
TV
Sportsnet
Maple Leafs vs Kings latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.
When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.
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