Todd Cordell
• Betting Analyst
12+ years betting experience
Updated:
Apr 7, 2026 , 11:46 AM ET
• 3 min read
The Lightning have had no answers for Jake Sanderson in the past, and our NHL betting picks see the standout Senators defenseman keeping his hot streak going tonight.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Jake Sanderson of the Ottawa Senators.
Jake Sanderson is enjoying the best offensive season of his career, producing at a 63-point pace over 82 games.
He had a two-point night the last time these teams played, and my Lightning vs. Senators predictions and NHL picks expect another quality performance on Tuesday, April 7.
Lightning vs Senators prediction
Lightning vs Senators best bet: Jake Sanderson Over 0.5 points (-130)
Jake Sanderson has hit the scoresheet in 11 of his last 14 home dates, recording 15 points in total.
He’s in a great spot to produce against the Tampa Bay Lightning, who are in the latter half of a road back-to-back and expected to start Jonas Johansson in goal.
Johansson owns a .886 SV% on the season and has conceded 11.4 goals more than expected over his last 10 starts, worst in the NHL.
Sanderson also has a great track record against the Bolts, picking up a point in eight of the last 10 meetings.
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Lightning vs Senators same-game parlay
Tim Stutzle recorded three shots on goal in both meetings with the Lightning this season while combining for a healthy 11 shot attempts. He has registered 2+ shots in six of his last seven, and will continue to be heavily relied upon as the Ottawa Senators push for a playoff spot.
The Senators are tied for third in wins over the last 25 games. They are in good form and have a clear rest advantage.
Tampa Bay is playing its third game in four nights against a Senators team that hasn’t traveled in April.
Lightning vs Senators SGP
Jake Sanderson Over 0.5 points
Tim Stutzle Over 1.5 shots on goal
Senators moneyline
Lightning vs Senators odds
Moneyline: Tampa Bay +110 | Ottawa -130
Puck line: Tampa Bay +1.5 (-215) | Ottawa -1.5 (+175)
Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-105) | Under 6.5 (-115)
Lightning vs Senators trend
Jake Sanderson has totaled nine points over his past five home dates against Tampa Bay. Find more NHL betting trends for Lightning vs. Senators.
How to watch Lightning vs Senators
Location
Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON
Date
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
Puck drop
7:00 p.m. ET
TV
The Spot, RDS2
Lightning vs Senators latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.
When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.
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