NHL Betting Preview: Senators vs Islanders
The Ottawa Senators clash with the New York Islanders at UBS Arena, with face-off scheduled for 10:00 on Saturday, April 11.
Sens Look Capable of Landing Victory
The prediction is to back the Senators at odds of -122. We think that the Islanders are massively opposable, so this is the best angle of attack with our bet.
Sens Won 3-2 in Teams’ Previous H2H
Ottawa Senators have won their previous three games. The latest was a 5-1 home triumph at Canadian Tire Centre against Florida Panthers. Fabian Zetterlund bagged two goals, while Artyom Zub, Claude Giroux and Drake Batherson scored once. Goalie Linus Ullmark had an awesome game, keeping out 22 shots (.957).
New York Islanders were winners last time out. It was a 5-3 home victory against Toronto Maple Leafs at UBS Arena. Matthew Schaefer was among the goalscorers where five different players found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Sens beat the Islanders when the teams last met. It was a 3-2 scoreline at Canadian Tire Centre. The past 10 games H2H record shows that both teams have five wins.
Starting Goalies
Linus Ullmark (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
27-12-8
2.8
.889
2
23/24
22-10-5
2.57
.915
2
Ilya Sorokin (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
29-22-2
2.7
.908
7
23/24
25-19-12
3.01
.908
2
Ottawa Senators – Last 10 Games
6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.5 goals from 28.4 shots on goal, with a 22.9% powerplay efficiency. The Sens have been giving up 2.7 goals from 26.7 shots, averaging 3.2 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 84.4%.
Brady Tkachuk is the top points scorer with 12 points, 3 goals and 9 assists, with Tim Stutzle racking up 10 points, 2 goals and 8 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Linus Ullmark have a 2.87 goal against average with a .903 save percentage.
New York Islanders – Last 10 Games
The Islanders have 4 wins and 6 losses, averaging 2.9 goals from 28.9 shots on goal, with a 18.9% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.7 goals from 27.5 shots, averaging 2.8 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 78.6%.
The top points scorer is Calum Ritchie with 9 points, 4 goals and 5 assists, while Matthew Schaefer is next in line after registering 9 points, 2 goals and 7 assists. Goalie Ilya Sorokin have a 3.42 GAA with a .879 SV%, including one shutout.
Ottawa Senators vs New York Islanders Prediction & Picks
Approach Ottawa Senators vs New York Islanders fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely correct score outcome and a hand-picked bet builder designed for value.
Game Prediction
We’re keeping our pick simple and backing Ottawa Senators to claim a victory. They should be able to win this NHL clash and you can get the road team at a juicy -122.
Our expert NHL handicappers study recent form and take injuries into account when assessing each matchup. Before delivering a verdict, we combine that insight with the latest stats to strengthen our hockey analysis.
Key Senators vs Islanders stats:
Senators have won 4 of their last 5 games.Senators have won 13 of their last 20 games.Senators have won 3 consecutive games.Islanders have lost 4 of their last 5 games.Islanders have lost 6 of their last 10 games.Sens Moneyline Probability
The best betting sites are estimating that there is a 54.9% likelihood of this pick winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
Looking for Bigger Odds?
There’s the opportunity to back Ottawa at bigger odds on the Puck Line. The sportsbooks will create a series of lines and you can choose the one that makes the most appeal.
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Our Game Prediction
Senators Moneyline @ -122
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 10, 14:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 14:56, 10 April 2026
Ottawa Senators vs New York Islanders Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Books Struggling to Separate Teams
You can back New York Islanders at +102 to win against Ottawa Senators, with the latter trading at -122. If you want to know the probability of the road team winning this game, it’s 55% according to the most popular sportsbooks.
The puck line stands at 1.5 and the total goals line is 5.5. Hockey bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on Totals. If you’re keen on Over 5.5, this selection is available at -133.
If you’re wagering on the matchup, be sure to visit the best NHL betting sites and browse the extensive selection of game lines and team props. You’ll find opportunities to place wagers both before the puck drops and during live play.
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Ottawa Senators Stats
New York Islanders Stats
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 5.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.50 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.30 pts and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 5.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 3.70 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.8
Shots: 28.4
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 3.2
Empty Net Goals: 0.5
Penalty Minutes: 7.8
Blocks: 12.9
Faceoff Wins : 30.9
Hits: 23.5
Giveaways: 15.5
Takeaways: 4.7
Last 10 Games on the Road
Goals Powerplay: 0.5
Shots: 30.2
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 4.2
Empty Net Goals: 0.3
Penalty Minutes: 10.4
Blocks: 14
Faceoff Wins : 27.7
Hits: 20.8
Giveaways: 14.4
Takeaways: 4.7
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.7
Shots: 28.9
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 2.8
Empty Net Goals: 0
Penalty Minutes: 7.8
Blocks: 14.1
Faceoff Wins : 31.9
Hits: 23.6
Giveaways: 14
Takeaways: 4.2
Last 10 Home Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.4
Shots: 29.9
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 2
Empty Net Goals: 0
Penalty Minutes: 4.3
Blocks: 14.8
Faceoff Wins : 31.6
Hits: 21.9
Giveaways: 14.3
Takeaways: 4.7
Starting Lineups
Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.
Expert Analysis by Paul Boucher
Senior NHL Analyst
About the Analyst
Paul Boucher is a Senior NHL Analyst and Head of the Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel with over 15 years of experience as a sports journalist and betting analyst. Based in Montreal, he provides first-hand insight through regular attendance at the Bell Centre, utilising advanced metrics to identify market value across key game lines, player props and same game parlays.
NHL Predictions Methodology
Our NHL analysis combines the latest team news, injury reports and line changes with recent form and market movement. We factor in situational analysis like home ice advantage and schedule spots. Metrics such as Corsi, Fenwick, Expected Goals (xG) and PDO are used to evaluate puck possession, shot quality, goaltending performance and special teams efficiency beyond the traditional box score.
Full Methodology & Data Sources
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Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on Apr 10, 14:56 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, confirmed lines and pairings, starting goaltenders, lineup changes, schedule context, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.
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