Stanley Cup Playoffs Betting Preview: Flyers vs Penguins
The Philadelphia Flyers (43-27-12, 23-14-4 on the road) meet the Pittsburgh Penguins (41-25-16, 20-13-8 at home) at PPG PAINTS Arena in Game 1 of this first-round Stanley Cup Playoffs series.
Flyers and Penguins to Play Out High-Scoring Game
The Flyers meet the Penguins on the rink and there could be a few goals. Take a chance on the attractive +104 that we see Over 6.5 scored.
Flyers Ride Three-Game Win Streak
The Philadelphia Flyers come into this series on a three-game winning streak after a 4-2 home win over the Montreal Canadiens at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Matvei Michkov was among four different goal scorers, while Samuel Ersson made 27 saves with a .931 save percentage.
The Pittsburgh Penguins dropped their last game 7-5 on the road to the St. Louis Blues at Enterprise Center, their third straight loss. Avery Hayes had two goals, while Anthony Mantha, Elmer Soderblom and Rutger McGroarty each found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Flyers won the last meeting with the Penguins 4-3 at PPG Paints Arena. Pittsburgh has won six of the last 10 matchups.
Starting Goalies
Dan Vladar (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
29-14-7
2.4
.906
0
23/24
8-9-2
3.61
.882
0
Stuart Skinner (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
23-17-9
2.9
.888
2
23/24
36-16-5
2.62
.905
2
Philadelphia Flyers – Last 10 Games
7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 3.5 goals from 25.8 shots on goal, with a 14.7% powerplay efficiency. The Flyers have been giving up 2.5 goals from 22.5 shots, averaging 3.2 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 75.0%.
Matvei Michkov is the top points scorer with 12 points, 4 goals and 8 assists, with Porter Martone recording 10 points, 4 goals and 6 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Daniel Vladar have a 2.31 goal against average with a .896 save percentage.
Pittsburgh Penguins – Last 10 Games
The Penguins have 5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 4.6 goals from 24.2 shots on goal, with a 16.7% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 4.0 goals from 27.0 shots, averaging 3.3 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 78.8%.
The top points scorer is Anthony Mantha with 11 points, 7 goals and 4 assists, while Yegor Chinakhov is next best after registering 10 points, 4 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Stuart Skinner have a 3.20 GAA with a .878 SV%.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction & Picks
Discover the top Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to the best prop plays and a customized bet builder.
Game Prediction
We’re expecting the net to be found on a frequent basis and that leads us to an Overs pick on the goal line. Let’s grab the +104 that this outcome happens in the NHL encounter.
It’s important to know which players are unavailable for the upcoming action along with the current form of each NHL franchise. If you’re after stats, you’re in the right place because they form the foundation of our hockey picks.
Key Flyers vs Penguins stats:
The 6.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Flyers games on the road.The 6.5 line has been covered in 11 of the last 20 Flyers games on the road.The 6.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Flyers games on the road.The 6.5 line has been covered in 17 of the last 20 Penguins games.The 6.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Penguins games.The 6.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Penguins games at home.The 6.5 line has been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.Over 6.5 Probability
The best betting sites are estimating that there is a 49% likelihood of this pick winning. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This hockey bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
Looking for Bigger Odds?
There is a way to get bigger odds by betting Over on the Total. Bettors often look to move the line so they can land a more profitable return if the selection wins.
Give your bets a boost! Browse our comprehensive guide to find the latest betting offers and generous welcome bonuses.
Our Game Prediction
Over 6.5 Goals @ +104
Watch Live
Bet Now
Thrill Promo
70% Rakeback + 10% Cashback
Get Bonus
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 17, 21:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 21:56, 17 April 2026
Player Prop Picks
Christian Dvorak (Flyers) has recorded Over 1.5 shots on goal in 5 straight road games. We’re anticipating that he is able to perform well and cover the line, with odds of -110 currently available.
Latest Christian Dvorak Player Prop Odds
Goals
Assists
Shots on Goal
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Books Expecting a Penguins Victory
With the sportsbooks giving them a 59% probability of winning this game, Pittsburgh Penguins might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -143 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +118 about Philadelphia Flyers.
The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is currently 6.5. There are many ways to wager on hockey including Totals. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 6.5 at +104.
The top NHL sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props for every matchup. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
Sidney Crosby Favorite to Be First Goalscorer
Sidney Crosby is the market leader at +1150 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
Player Goals
Sidney Crosby (Penguins)
Rickard Rakell (Penguins)
Bryan Rust (Penguins)
Owen Tippett (Flyers)
Player Assists
Erik Karlsson (Penguins)
Sidney Crosby (Penguins)
Evgeni Malkin (Penguins)
Trevor Zegras (Flyers)
Player Shots
Sidney Crosby (Penguins)
Bryan Rust (Penguins)
Owen Tippett (Flyers)
Porter Martone (Flyers)
Micro Betting
For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, then NHL micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to bet on the Next Goal, Next Goalscorer and what will happen within the next 10 minutes.
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Philadelphia Flyers Stats
Pittsburgh Penguins Stats
7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games
+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games on the road
-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.80 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 6.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 4.20 pts and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 8.60 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 8.30 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 6.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.60 goals and allowed 4.00 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 4.10 goals and allowed 4.20 goals in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.5
Shots: 25.8
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 3.2
Empty Net Goals: 0.1
Penalty Minutes: 6.4
Blocks: 11.3
Faceoff Wins : 28.2
Hits: 26.5
Giveaways: 14.2
Takeaways: 4.1
Last 10 Games on the Road
Goals Powerplay: 0.5
Shots: 24.4
Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
Penalties: 4.2
Empty Net Goals: 0.3
Penalty Minutes: 9.3
Blocks: 11.7
Faceoff Wins : 27
Hits: 23.7
Giveaways: 15.2
Takeaways: 4.8
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.6
Shots: 24.2
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 3.3
Empty Net Goals: 0.1
Penalty Minutes: 7.8
Blocks: 14.7
Faceoff Wins : 27.1
Hits: 14.3
Giveaways: 16.3
Takeaways: 5.1
Last 10 Home Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.7
Shots: 25.5
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 3.9
Empty Net Goals: 0
Penalty Minutes: 9
Blocks: 15.3
Faceoff Wins : 27.8
Hits: 19.1
Giveaways: 16.1
Takeaways: 4.9
Starting Lineups
Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.
Expert Analysis by Robert Carter
NHL Analyst
About the Analyst
Our ice hockey previews are produced by a specialised team of analysts, former odds compilers and sports journalists. Picks are research-driven and reviewed for accuracy and editorial consistency under the oversight of our hockey panel and Editor-in-Chief.
NHL Predictions Methodology
Our NHL analysis combines the latest team news, injury reports and line changes with recent form and market movement. We factor in situational analysis like home ice advantage and schedule spots. Metrics such as Corsi, Fenwick, Expected Goals (xG) and PDO are used to evaluate puck possession, shot quality, goaltending performance and special teams efficiency beyond the traditional box score.
Full Methodology & Data Sources
Where to Bet
The betting site referenced has been independently reviewed under our published review methodology, which evaluates betting lines, odds and market depth, licensing and security, payment processes, withdrawal reliability, responsible gambling tools and additional platform criteria relevant to user experience and regulatory standards.
 Read our Thrill Analyst Review
Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on Apr 17, 21:56 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, confirmed lines and pairings, starting goaltenders, lineup changes, schedule context, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.
18+ (or legal age). If gambling is causing harm or distress, support is available. Visit our Gamble Responsibly hub for safer gambling tools, self-exclusion options and local helplines.
Editorial Policy | Disclaimer