The Tampa Bay Lightning (9-3-2) host the Chicago Blackhawks (4-11-1) at Benchmark International Arena on Thursday, Nov. 5 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Lightning have won seven in a row at home while the Blackhawks are losers of seven straight road games.

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Here’s our prediction for who will secure the victory in Thursday’s game.

Over the last 10 contests for the Blackhawks, their offense has scored 24 goals while their defense has given up 33 (they have a 3-6-1 record in those games). In 36 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored four goals (11.1% conversion rate).

Blackhawks vs. Lightning Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projections model for this encounter expects a final score of Lightning 5, Blackhawks 1.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-424)
Total Pick: No Pick – Predicted Margin Negligible
Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning have gone 1-2-3 in overtime games on their way to an overall record of 9-3-2.
Tampa Bay has five points (2-0-1) in the three games it has played that were decided by one goal.
In the two games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they lost both times.
The Lightning have scored more than two goals 12 times, and are 9-1-2 in those games (to record 20 points).
In the eight games when Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal, it went 6-1-1 to register 13 points.
In games when it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 7-2-1 (15 points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in four games, going 2-1-1 to record five points.
Blackhawks Splits and Trends

The Blackhawks (4-11-1 overall) have posted a record of 1-1-2 in matchups that have required OT this season.
Chicago has earned five points (2-2-1) in its five games decided by one goal.
This season the Blackhawks recorded just one goal in three games and they lost every time.
Chicago has two points (1-4-0) in five games this season when it has scored a pair of goals.
The Blackhawks have scored at least three goals five times, earning seven points from those matchups (3-1-1).
This season, Chicago has capitalized on a single power-play goal in five games and registered nine points with a record of 4-0-1.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Chicago is 1-1-1 (three points).
The Blackhawks have been outshot by opponents in 12 games, going 3-9-0 to record six points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Blackhawks vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel

When: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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