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JFresh Hockey predicts the Canucks will pick up 98 points this season, good for fourth in the Pacific Division.

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Published Aug 30, 2025  •  Last updated 16 hours ago  •  3 minute read

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petterssonVancouver Canucks defenceman Elias ‘Junior’ Pettersson takes control of the puck during a game in Dallas in April. Photo by LM Otero AP Photo /APArticle content

Two seasons after winning the Pacific Division, are the Vancouver Canucks already also-rans again?

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Emotionally, it’s undeniable that this team is different from the one that won the division two years ago, that looked like it was just a player or two away from being a proper contender.

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Last season was atrocious. There were few positives to come from it, although it could be argued the resetting of the defence corps qualifies as one of those few.

With Elias (Junior) Pettersson’s game surely set to grow and Tom Willander making his first steps into professional hockey, the re-buttressed defence corps has lots of room to grow too. That’s good.

That, as we know, is a good thing about this team. But there are questions about scoring goals — Elias Pettersson needs to find his scoring game again, and overall the team needs to find a way to fill in the hole left by J.T. Miller — and about goaltending, with Thatcher Demko wanting to put three seasons’ worth of injury issues behind him.

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It’s a team of “ifs”. If Demko regains old form, if Pettersson does the same, if Filip Chytil can stay healthy and be a viable second-line centre night-in, night-out — if those all play out, this is a team that will seem to be back trending in the right direction.

Vancouver Canucks goaltender Thatcher Demko stands by the net in the first period of an NHL hockey game against the Dallas Stars in Dallas, Tuesday, April 8, 2025. Vancouver Canucks goaltender Thatcher Demko will want to put three seasons’ worth of injury issues behind him. Photo by LM Otero /AP

But even then, they may just be the fourth-placed team in the division.

Prognosticators like JFresh Hockey are starting to home in on what this season could look like. In JFresh’s projection, the Canucks will get to 98 points, but only finish fourth in the division. Even so, JFresh predicts, that will be the sixth-most points in the Western Conference.

If you’re the Canucks, given last year’s disaster, you will like this as a baseline. Of course, every team wants to be seen at the top of the standings and then fighting for the Stanley Cup. The Canucks were none of those last year.

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They came into the season with those ambitions, but it all blew up.

This is a tough division. There’s the back-to-back Cup finalist Edmonton Oilers, the always-going-for-it Vegas Golden Knights, and the upstart Los Angeles Kings.

JFresh’s projection has the Oilers and Knights neck-and-neck in first place on 108 points. The Kings are projected to finish one point ahead of the Canucks.

Given everything we have seen from the Canucks in 2025, this seems a fair estimate of where they’re at.

filip chytil If guys likeFilip Chytil really do perform as hoped, that will make for a pretty nice baseline to build from. Photo by Sean M. Haffey /Getty ImagesThe half-full take

The optimist will look at where the Canucks sit and say, Hey, not so bad. Add a couple players and all of a sudden this team is truly back on course.

That’s fair enough. If Elias Pettersson regains dominant No. 1 centre form, if Demko resumes the kind of play he put down in 2023-24 when he was a Vezina finalist as league’s best goalie, that will make a huge impact. And if guys like Chytil really do perform as hoped, that will make for a pretty nice baseline to build from.

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The Canucks could be back where they thought they were a year ago, in a position to make a couple of big moves to improve the lineup ahead of a playoff push.

pettersson Vancouver Canucks defenceman Elias N. Pettersson in Dallas in April. Photo by LM Otero AP Photo /APThe half-empty take

The pessimist will look at last year’s disaster, at the overall lack of team success brought about by what’s left of this core, and say: Why should we think 2024 was anything more than a one-off?

And that’s also fair enough. There has been internal frustration about the lack of winning attitudes in the dressing room. The talent is there, but is the desire, management has lamented to many.

When you’re under pressure, as this team surely is, that is when your character, your will to win, comes under the ultimate test.

And too often, that hasn’t happened for this group. The pessimist will look at a fourth-place projection and wonder if that’s still high.

So, which are you? Half-full or half-empty?

pjohnston@postmedia.com

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