The Toronto Maple Leafs meet the Florida Panthers for Game 3 of their Eastern Conference semifinal Friday. The Stanley Cup Playoffs battle at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida, will start at 7 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Maple Leafs vs. Panthers odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Series: Toronto leads 2-0

The Maple Leafs have prevailed in a pair of 1-goal games to take control of the best-of-7 series to reach the Eastern Conference final. They won 4-3 in Wednesday’s Game 2, getting a Mitch Marner go-ahead goal in the sixth minute of the third period and protecting the lead the rest of the way. They won 5-4 in Game 1 on Monday.

The Panthers had 2 leads over the first 25 minutes of Game 2, but both slipped away. Florida, which beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-1 in its first-round series, is playing just its third home game in these 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs. The Panthers are 6-2 across their last 8 postseason games on home ice.

Stream the NHL all season on ESPN+, with your team’s out-of-market games, exclusive games, originals and more. Get ESPN+ now!

Maple Leafs at Panthers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:34 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Maple Leafs +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Panthers -235 (bet $235 to win $100)Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Maple Leafs +1.5 (-140) | Panthers -1.5 (+118)Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -105 | U: -115)Maple Leafs at Panthers projected goalies

Joseph Woll (2025 playoffs: 2-0-0, 4.00 GAA, .875 SV%) vs. Sergei Bobrovsky (4-3-0, 2.86 GAA, .876 SV%)

Woll has been between the pipes in place of G Anthony Stolarz, who is out with an upper body injury. Woll registered a .909 SV% in 42 regular-season games and owns a .919 SV% across 9 career playoff games.

Bobrovsky allowed 4 goals while making 16 stops in Wednesday’s game. Over his last 5 games, he owns an .850 SV%.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Maple Leafs at Panthers picks and predictionsPrediction

Florida 4, Toronto 1

No interest: PASS.

Prior to this series, Florida had won 4 of its last 5 games (4-1-0) against Toronto and 3 of those 4 wins were by 2-plus goals.

Its going to take a rally by Bobrovsky, but the Panthers are the value side in this one. They have been developing better 5-on-5 chances, but the Leafs have still scored 8 even-strength goals over the 2 games.

Toronto’s offense ranks last in the playoffs when it comes to generating high-danger 5-on-5 looks (per NaturalStatTrick). Woll makes for a question mark, and a previously hot Toronto power play has cooled over recent games (the Leafs are 2 for their last 16 in that department).

A year ago, Bobrovsky had an .892 SV% through 9 playoff games. He hard-charged his way to a .914 SV% over the balance of Florida’s Stanley Cup run. During the regular season, Florida’s best rest split was the one-day category. When coming off a lone off day, the Panthers went 28-15-2.

TAKE FLORIDA -1.5 (+118).

Just a sliver of a lean on bettors overvaluing the results of the first 2 games here. The 5-on-5 expected-goal numbers would call for a tighter, lower-scoring Game 3.

The previous six Leafs-Panthers games (regular and postseason) were tabbed with a total of 5.5.

TAKE THE UNDER 6 (-115).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.