The Tampa Bay Lightning (1-2-1) hit the road against the Detroit Red Wings (3-1, winners of three in a row) at Little Caesars Arena. The game on Friday, Oct. 17 starts at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Before watching this matchup, here is our prediction for which squad will bring home the win in Friday’s hockey action.

Lightning vs. Red Wings Predictions for Friday

Our computer projection model for this encounter predicts a final score of Red Wings 6, Lightning 1.

Moneyline Pick: Red Wings (+137)
Total Pick: Over 6.5 (computer predicts 6.8 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Red Wings (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning (47-27-8 overall) had a 6-8-14 record last season in contests that needed overtime.
Tampa Bay picked up 21 points (8-9-5) in the 22 games it played that were decided by one goal.
In the nine games last season the Lightning recorded only one goal, they finished 0-8-1.
Tampa Bay finished 2-11-3 in the 16 games last season when it scored exactly two goals (registering seven points).
The Lightning scored at least three goals 58 times, and went 46-8-4 in those games (to register 96 points).
In the 33 games when Tampa Bay scored a lone power-play goal, it went 22-10-1 to record 45 points.
When it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay was 25-18-0 (50 points).
The Lightning’s opponent had more shots in 40 games last season. The Lightning went 22-10-8 in those contests (52 points).
Red Wings Splits and Trends

The Red Wings had a 9-8-17 record in overtime contests last season, and a 39-35-8 overall record.
Detroit picked up 34 points (13-8-8) in its 29 games decided by one goal.
In 18 games last season when the Red Wings ended up with just one goal, they picked up four points (1-15-2).
Detroit picked up 16 points (7-8-2 record) last season when scoring exactly two goals .
The Red Wings scored more than two goals in 45 games, earning 66 points from those contests.
Detroit scored a lone power-play goal in 26 games last season and picked up 23 points.
When outshooting its opponent last season, Detroit was 18-16-2 (38 points).
The Red Wings were outshot by their opponents 43 times last season, and took 42 points from those games.

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Team Stats Comparison (2024-25)

Lightning vs. Red Wings Game Time and TV Channel

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