The Toronto Maple Leafs tangle with the Florida Panthers for Game 4 in their Eastern Conference semifinal series Sunday. The Stanley Cup Playoffs battle at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida, will start at 7:30 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Maple Leafs vs. Panthers odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Series: Toronto leads 2-1

The Maple Leafs took Games 1-2 (by 5-4 and 4-3 scores) and then twice led Friday’s Game 3 by multiple goals (2-0, 3-1) before eventually falling 5-4 in overtime. Toronto will hit the ice Sunday looking to break a trend in South Florida. Dating back to 2023, the Leafs have lost 5 games in a row at Florida.

The Panthers — now 7-2 across their last 9 postseason games on home ice — are not normally a high-scoring club, but they have amped up their goal scoring of late. Florida ranked 15th in the NHL in regular-season scoring, netting 3.00 goals per game (GPG). The Panthers have scored 4.00 GPG over their last 4 contests and 3.88 GPG in these playoffs.

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Maple Leafs at Panthers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:35 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Maple Leafs +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Panthers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Maple Leafs +1.5 (-155) | Panthers -1.5 (+130)Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -120 | U: +100)Maple Leafs at Panthers projected goalies

Joseph Woll (2025 playoffs: 2-1-0, 3.67 GAA, .869 SV%) vs. Sergei Bobrovsky (4-3-0, 2.86 GAA, .876 SV%)

Woll, who yielded 5 goals against 36 shots Friday, has started in place of G Anthony Stolarz, who is out with an upper body injury. Woll registered a .909 SV% in 42 regular-season games and owns a .910 SV% across 10 career playoff games.

Bobrovsky stopped 27 of 31 pucks Friday. Over his last 6 games, he owns an .854 SV%. In 4 regular-season games against Toronto, the veteran netminder logged a .925 SV%.

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Maple Leafs at Panthers picks and predictionsPrediction

Florida 4, Toronto 1

No interest: PASS.

Prior to this series, Florida had won 4 of its last 5 games (4-1-0) against Toronto and 3 of those 4 wins were by 2-plus goals.

The Panthers have been developing better 5-on-5 chances. Goals-expected analytics would peg Florida’s offense being too far out over its skis with its production. But the same hold true for Toronto, and Bobrovsky is still the more likeable half of the equation between the pipes. A year ago, Bobrovsky had an .892 SV% through 9 playoff games. He rallied to post a .914 SV% over the balance of Florida’s 2024 Stanley Cup run.

During the regular season, Florida’s best rest split was the 1-day category. When coming off a lone off day, the Panthers went 28-15-2.

TAKE FLORIDA -1.5 (+130).

The Over has cashed in all 3 games of this series, but the Under went 3-1 across 4 regular-season meetings.

Toronto has not been developing quality looks in 5-on-5 play. Its time for a solid Panthers defense (Florida ranked seventh in the league in allowing 2.72 GPG in the regular season) to show up.

TAKE THE UNDER 6 (+100).

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