Something has to give when the Tampa Bay Lightning (4-4-2, riding a three-game winning streak) host the Dallas Stars (6-3-1, also winners of three straight). The contest on Thursday, Oct. 30 starts at 7 p.m. ET on TNT.

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To prepare for this matchup, here is who we project to bring home the win in Thursday’s hockey game.

Lightning vs. Stars Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this encounter calls for a final score of Lightning 4, Stars 2.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-137)
Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 5.9 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning have finished 1-2-3 in overtime contests on their way to an overall record of 4-4-2.
In the eight games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 3-3-2 record (good for eight points).
In the one game this season the Lightning recorded only one goal, they lost in overtime.
Tampa Bay has finished 1-2-1 in the four games this season when it scored two goals (registering three points).
The Lightning have scored more than two goals in five games (3-2-0, six points).
In the three games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it registered three points after finishing 1-1-1.
In the four games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 2-1-1 (five points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in six games, going 2-3-1 to register five points.
Stars Splits and Trends

The Stars have a record of 6-3-1 this season and are 1-1-2 in overtime games.
Dallas has earned nine points (4-0-1) in its five games that finished with a one-goal margin.
This season the Stars recorded just one goal in three games and they’ve earned two points (1-2-0) in those contests.
Dallas lost in overtime in its only game this season when it has scored exactly two goals.
The Stars have scored three or more goals in six games, earning 10 points from those contests.
Dallas has scored a lone power-play goal in three games this season and won all of those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Dallas is 3-1-1 (seven points).
The Stars’ opponents have had more shots in five games. The Stars went 3-2-0 in those matchups (six points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Stars Game Time and TV Channel

When: Thursday, October 30, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
TV Channel: TNT
Live Stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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