NHL Betting Preview: Capitals vs Lightning
The Washington Capitals go up against the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena, with face-off scheduled for 01:00 on Sunday 9 November. Our betting preview features expert NHL predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.
Is the Total Too High or Too Low?
The Capitals go up against the Lightning and we’re predicting the teams to fall short of the 5.5 goals total. We are therefore backing the Under selection at 2.04.
Expecting a low-scoring affair? Get up to speed with our in-depth Betano review, then grab the exclusive promo code to make your wager go further.
Overtime Win for Caps in Last H2H
Washington Capitals have now lost three straight road games. When they last took to the ice, Pittsburgh Penguins won 5-3 at PPG PAINTS Arena. Dylan Strome, Tom Wilson and Rasmus Sandin scored one goal apiece.
Tampa Bay Lightning have triumphed in their last three home games. Most recently, they won on the road when beating Vegas Golden Knights 6-3 at T-Mobile Arena. Nikita Kucherov had 3 points, featuring 2 goals and 1 assist.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Caps had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At Capital One Arena, they recorded a 3-2 win over the Lightning. The past 10 H2H clashes have seen both teams record five wins.
Starting Goalies
Logan Thompson (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
6-3-0
1.5
.938
0
23/24
25-14-3
2.7
.908
1
Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
4-4-2
2.7
.901
0
23/24
30-20-2
2.9
.900
2
Washington Capitals – Last 10 Games
4 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.1 goals from 29.6 shots on goal, with a 14.6% powerplay efficiency. The Caps have been giving up 2.7 goals from 24.7 shots, averaging 4.5 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 82.2%.
Dylan Strome is the top points scorer with 12 points, 4 goals and 8 assists, with Tom Wilson recording 11 points, 7 goals and 4 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Logan Thompson have a 1.17 goal against average with a .947 save percentage.
Tampa Bay Lightning – Last 10 Games
The Lightning have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.0 goals from 29.0 shots on goal, with a 10.2% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.3 goals from 27.9 shots, averaging 4.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 92.7%.
The top points scorer is Brandon Hagel with 11 points, 6 goals and 5 assists, while Nikita Kucherov is next best after registering 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.13 GAA with a .917 SV%.
Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks
We bring you the complete Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning betting insight, including our top match prediction, correct score forecast, player prop advice and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
Don’t expect the lamp to light up too many times. All things considered, our pick has to be the Unders and there is 2.04 that this happens in this NHL encounter.
Injuries are always factored in by the handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our hockey picks are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date stats playing a key role before any NHL selections are locked in.
Key Capitals vs Lightning stats:
The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Capitals games.The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Lightning games at home.The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Lightning games.The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Lightning games at home.The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.Under 5.5 Probability
The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 49% prospect of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
Looking for Bigger Odds?
The bigger odds can be found if you combine your Under wager on the Totals with a number of other same-game selections as part of a Bet Builder.
Don’t bet without checking our complete guide to the latest betting promo codes, free bets, and welcome bonuses.
Best Bet
Under 5.5 Goals @ 2.04
Watch Live
Bet Now
Betano Promo
100% up to $5000
Get Bonus
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.
Published 05:43, 08 November 2025
Player Prop Picks
Brandon Hagel (Lightning) has had Over 2.5 shots on goal in 8 of the past 10 games. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the line which is available at odds of 1.95.
Latest Brandon Hagel Player Prop Odds
Goals
Assists
Shots on Goal
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Lightning Moneyline Odds Suggest Victory
Tampa Bay Lightning are 1.66 favorites and that means a 60% chance of winning this game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Washington Capitals are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at 2.26.
There is a puck line of 1.5 and total goals has a line of 5.5. Having a bet on Totals is one of the most popular hockey wagers. If you fancy Over 5.5, this outcome can be backed at 1.78.
There are hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on the National Hockey League and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.
Brayden Point Favorite to Score the First Goal
Those interested in favorite Brayden Point to find the net first are able to get 11.00. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes appeal, then this is 2.55.
Player Goals
Brayden Point (Lightning)
Alex Ovechkin (Capitals)
Jake Guentzel (Lightning)
Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)
Player Assists
Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)
Dylan Strome (Capitals)
Victor Hedman (Lightning)
Jake Guentzel (Lightning)
Player Shots
Alex Ovechkin (Capitals)
Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)
Brayden Point (Lightning)
Jake Guentzel (Lightning)
Micro Betting
It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to NHL micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Check out the live team and player props and see if you can find an angle.
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Washington Capitals Stats
Tampa Bay Lightning Stats
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games
+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 5.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.60 pts and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 5.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.70 goals and allowed 3.30 goals in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.6
Shots: 29.6
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 4.5
Empty Net Goals: 0.1
Penalty Minutes: 10.7
Blocks: 17.5
Faceoff Wins : 25.1
Hits: 20.7
Giveaways: 17.2
Takeaways: 4.6
Last 10 Games on the Road
Goals Powerplay: 0.3
Shots: 25.7
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 4.6
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 11.9
Blocks: 17.5
Faceoff Wins : 27.8
Hits: 27.2
Giveaways: 15.2
Takeaways: 4.2
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.5
Shots: 29
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 4.1
Empty Net Goals: 0.3
Penalty Minutes: 9.8
Blocks: 15.6
Faceoff Wins : 26.9
Hits: 17.9
Giveaways: 15.1
Takeaways: 4.2
Last 10 Home Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.7
Shots: 26.8
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 4.8
Empty Net Goals: 0
Penalty Minutes: 11.6
Blocks: 13.8
Faceoff Wins : 26.7
Hits: 26.2
Giveaways: 16.3
Takeaways: 3.6
Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.