After Jake Guentzel’s three-goal showing in the Tampa Bay Lightning’s 5-1 win over the New Jersey Devils, the Lightning (10-7-2) host the Edmonton Oilers (9-9-4) on Thursday at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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To prepare for this matchup, here’s who we project to take home the victory in Thursday’s hockey contest.

Over the last 10 contests for the Oilers (4-5-1), their offense has put up 29 goals while their defense has conceded 39 goals. They have registered 22 power-play opportunities during that time, and have scored seven goals (31.8%).

Lightning vs. Oilers Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this encounter predicts a final result of Lightning 4, Oilers 2.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-154)
Total Pick: No Pick – Predicted Margin Negligible
Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning have finished 2-2-4 in overtime contests as part of an overall record of 10-7-2.
Tampa Bay has 12 points (5-4-2) in the 11 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
In the one game this season the Lightning registered just one goal, they lost in overtime.
Tampa Bay has taken five points from the seven games this season when it scored two goals (2-4-1 record).
The Lightning are 8-3-0 in the 11 games when they have scored more than two goals (to record 16 points).
In the six games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it has a 4-1-1 record (nine points).
In the seven games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 3-3-1 (seven points).
The Lightning’s opponents have had more shots in 12 games. The Lightning finished 7-4-1 in those matchups (15 points).
Oilers Splits and Trends

The Oilers have a 5-4-9 record in overtime matchups this season and a 9-9-4 overall record.
Edmonton has earned 14 points (6-3-2) in its 11 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
This season the Oilers registered just one goal in two games and they lost both times.
When Edmonton has scored a pair of goals this season, they’ve earned four points (2-4-0 record).
The Oilers have scored at least three goals in 14 games, earning 18 points from those contests.
This season, Edmonton has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in nine games has a record of 1-5-3 in those matchups.
When it outshoots its opponent this season, Edmonton has posted a record of 7-7-3 (17 points).
The Oilers’ opponents have had more shots in five games. The Oilers finished 2-2-1 in those contests (five points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Oilers Game Time and TV Channel

When: Thursday, November 20, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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