Parker’s prediction: Sam Montembeault will be busy between the pipes tonight.
Nov 20, 2025 • 12:33 ET
• 3 min read
EXPERT PICK – PROP
Sam Montembeault o22.5 Total Saves (-125)
Photo By – Imagn Images. Sam Montembeault in net for the Canadiens.
The Montreal Canadiens have lost four straight and six of seven heading into their tilt with the Washington Capitals at the Bell Centre tonight.
My Capitals vs. Canadiens predictions and top NHL picks expect Montreal goalie Sam Montembeault to see plenty of rubber tonight and be up to the test.
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Capitals vs Canadiens prediction
Capitals vs Canadiens Best bet: Sam Montembeault Over 22.5 saves (-125)
It’s been a tough start to the season for Montreal Canadiens goalie Sam Montembeault.
He’s sporting a discouraging .858 save percentage and 3.56 GAA with -6.43 goals saved above expected through 11 appearances, and I’m anticipating improved play moving forward.
Montembeault put up a .902 SV% across 143 games over the previous three seasons, and last year his 29.62 goals saved above expected ranked fourth in the NHL, after all.
The Washington Capitals are positioned to generate enough shots for Montembeault to clear this save total, too.
Washington is ninth in shots per game (29.3) and shows off with a fourth-ranked 54.1 Corsi For percentage at 5-on-5.
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Capitals vs Canadiens same-game parlay
The Habs draw the Caps on the second leg of a back-to-back set with travel, and Montreal is ripe to kick the losing skid and return to the wins column. A big part of turning the corner tonight will be Montembeault standing tall, too.
Turning to the third leg of this SGP, Montreal rookie Ivan Demidov has 10 assists through 19 games while skating in a top-six role and jumping the boards with the No. 1 power-play unit. The Caps sport a 28th-ranked 72.3 penalty-kill percentage, too.
Additionally, while hard to quantify, Demidov could also have an extra pep in his step facing off against countryman Alex Ovechkin on Thursday night after the Caps took out the Canadiens in the opening round of the playoffs last spring.
Capitals vs Canadiens SGP
Canadiens moneyline
Sam Montembeault Over 22.5 saves
Ivan Demidov Over 0.5 assists
Capitals vs Canadiens odds
Moneyline: Capitals +115 | Canadiens -135
Puck Line: Capitals +1.5 (-210) | Canadiens -1.5 (+165)
Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Under 6.5
Capitals vs Canadiens trend
The Canadiens have won 44 of their last 87 games for +8.90 units and a 9% ROI. Find more NHL betting trends for Capitals vs. Canadiens.
How to watch Capitals vs Canadiens
Location
Bell Centre, Montreal, QC
Date
Thursday, November 20, 2025
Puck drop
7:00 p.m. ET
TV
MNMT, TSN2
Capitals vs Canadiens latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.
Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.
Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.
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