The Ottawa Senators host the New York Rangers at the Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday, December 4, and my Rangers vs. Senators predictions and NHL picks are headlined by Ottawa captain Brady Tkachuk.

Rangers vs Senators prediction

Rangers vs Senators Best bet: Brady Tkachuk Over 3.5 shots on goal (+115)

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Ottawa Senators captain Brady Tkachuk recorded three shots on 10 attempts last time out, and he’s recorded a team-high 13 shots on 25 attempts through three games since returning from injury.

Tkachuk has also tilted the ice in his favor with a 56.6 Corsi For percentage and 58.3% shot share at five-on-five, and jumps the boards as a go-to shooter on the No. 1 power-play unit.

Remember, too, Tkachuk paced the NHL in shots per 60 minutes and ranked second in attempts per 60 last season.

This isn’t a tough matchup, either.

The New York Rangers have allowed a healthy 28.5 shots per game, and New York, playing without No. 1 defenseman Adam Fox, is going to catch up with the Blueshirts, too.

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He leads New York with a 57.5 CF%, and in particular, partner Vladislav Gavrikov drops from a 56.2 CF% when playing with Fox to a miserable 42.3% mark without.

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Rangers vs Senators same-game parlay

Ottawa has won 28 of its past 43 home games, and New York is missing a key defenseman. I’m also expecting Sens backup Leevi Merilainen to continue his improved play on home ice. He’s won all three starts with a solid .912 save percentage at the Canadian Tire Centre.

Rangers vs Senators SGP

Brady Tkachuk Over 3.5 shots

Leevi Merilainen Over 22.5 saves

Rangers vs Senators odds

Moneyline: Rangers +130 | Senators -150

Puck Line: Rangers +1.5 (-200) | Senators -1.5 (+165)

Over/Under: Over 5.5 | Under 5.5

Rangers vs Senators trend

The Ottawa Senators have won 28 of their last 43 games at home (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Rangers vs. Senators.

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How to watch Rangers vs Senators

Location

Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON

Date

Thursday, December 4, 2025

Puck drop

7:00 p.m. ET

TV

MSG, TSN5

Rangers vs Senators latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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