The Florida Panthers and Toronto Maple Leafs clash in a Game 7 showdown Sunday to decide which club moves on to face the Carolina Hurricanes in the Eastern Conference title series as part of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The opening puck drop at Scotiabank Arena will be at 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Panthers vs. Maple Leafs odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Series: Tied 3-3
Florida dropped Games 1 and 2 in Toronto, but rebounded with 3 straight victories to take a 3-2 series lead. The Panthers failed to clinch a trip to the Eastern Conference final when they lost 2-0 at home on Friday.
Toronto, which went 0-4-0 against Florida in the regular season, did manage to win the Atlantic Division and will now test drive its home-ice advantage. The Maple Leafs are 4-2 across a half-dozen home playoff games so far. Toronto, which has not outshot Florida since Game 1, won Game 6 despite putting just 17 shots on net.
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Panthers at Maple Leafs odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:41 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Panthers -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Maple Leafs +110 (bet $100 to win $110)Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Panthers -1.5 (+195) | Maple Leafs +1.5 (-235)Over/Under (O/U): 5 (O: +140 | U: -118)Panthers at Maple Leafs projected goalies
Sergei Bobrovsky (2025 Playoffs: 7-4-0, 2.43 GAA, .898 SV%) vs. Joseph Woll (3-3-0, 3.23 GAA, .899 SV%)
Bobrovsky got off to a slow start in this series, logging an .840 SV% over the first 3 games. He has clocked a .958 figure since.
Woll made 22 stops to register a big Game 6 shutout. He owns an .893 SV% in this series.
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Panthers at Maple Leafs picks and predictionsPrediction
Panthers 3, Maple Leafs 2
Florida is 7-4 across the last 11 meetings (including playoffs) with Toronto.
In these Stanley Cup Playoffs, the Panthers have been one of the top clubs in generating scoring chances on offense and denying same at the other end. They own a significant edge over Toronto when it comes to chances in and around the slot, both in creating those opportunities on offense and limiting them on defense. And Florida is the more likable side in killing off power plays.
Florida was impressive in logging a trio of road wins in as many attempts in its first-round win over the Tampa Bay Lightning. And in their march to a 2024 Stanley Cup title, the Panthers won Game 7 in the finals and clocked four key road wins throughout the playoffs.
Bobrovsky has looked quite good over the last 3 games, and that includes Game 5 north of the border when he stopped 31 of 32 Leafs shots in a 6-1 Florida triumph.
Peg the PANTHERS (-130) as being the value side here.
No interest. AVOID.
The Over is 4-2 in this series, but the previous 14 Florida-Toronto games (regular and postseason) had seen the Under go 11-3.
With Bobrovsky being sharp of late and with Florida’s defense clamping down on good scoring chances, look for Game 7 to be a lower-scoring affair.
Peg the UNDER 5 as a lean in theory, but 40-cent O/U lines aren’t usually advisable. Consider holding out for a better price.
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