Jan. 15, 2026, 12:26 p.m. ET

The Philadelphia Flyers (22-15-8) face the Pittsburgh Penguins (21-14-10) Thursday. Puck drop from PPG Paints Arena, in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Flyers vs. Penguins odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Flyers are running on E after dropping their fourth straight game Wednesday, 5-2 at the Buffalo Sabres as +114 road dogs. C Trevor Zegras netted his 18th goal as he approaches his career high of 23. Thursday’s projected starter in goal, Samuel Ersson, was forced in late in the first period and stopped 6 of 8 as Buffalo pounded 5 in the net on just 14 shots.

The Pens are also floundering, losers of 3 straight, after a 2-1 shootout loss to the Tampa Bay Lightning Tuesday. They were +112 home dogs as C Evgeni Malkin scored his 10th of the season. The Pens have combined for just 2 goals in the 3-game skid. On the bright side, they’ve allowed 2 goals or fewer in 5 of 6.

The Flyers won 3-2 in a shootout in the first meeting Oct. 28, while losing the second game 5-1 Dec. 1. Both games were in Philadelphia

Watch the NHL on Fubo!Flyers at Penguins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:23 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Flyers +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Penguins -170 (bet $170 to win $100)Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Flyers +1.5 (-170) | Penguins -1.5 (+140)Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)Flyers at Penguins projected goalies

Samuel Ersson (6-7-4, 3.32 GAA, .855 SV%) vs. Stuart Skinner (14-12-4, 2.71 GAA, .893 SV%, 2 SO)

As mentioned, Ersson was thrust into action for 2 periods and change 24 hours ago, stopping 6 of 8 fired his way. He is 1-4-1 in his last 6 appearances with a .826 SV%. He was between the pipes in the 3-2 shootout win over Pittsburgh Oct. 28, stopping 24 of 26.

Skinner is 3-4-0 with a 2.34 GAA and .899 SV% in 7 starts since he was traded from the Edmonton Oilers. Those numbers are a tick above where he was with the Oilers. His last start was Sunday in a 1-0 loss to the Boston Bruins, stopping 18 of 19. While with the Oilers, he beat the Flyers 2-1 Nov. 12, stopping 20 of 21.

Flyers at Penguins picks and predictionsPrediction

Penguins 4, Flyers 2

It’s go big or go home here. The Pens are the favorites with the struggling Flyers on a back-to-back. They’re just 10-7-6 at home, though, so -170 is a bit of a reach.

PASS.

I’ll take PENGUINS -1.5 (+140) here, and the public is with me, as the odds reduced in the writing process. The Pens are tied for fourth in the league with 6 empty-net goals.

The Flyers are 6-4 O/U in their last 10, and the Pens are 4-6. As mentioned, the Pens aren’t scoring much, but not allowing much either. Both meetings this season would be Under this total.

Go UNDER 6.5 (-120).

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