Jan. 21, 2026, 6:48 a.m. ET

The Detroit Red Wings (30-16-4) and Toronto Maple Leafs (24-17-8) meet Wednesday at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (TNT / HBOMax / truTV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: Red Wings lead 3-0, with a 6-2 win and a pair of 3-2 victories, the last in OT at home Dec. 28

The Red Wings posted a 4-3 OT win against the Ottawa Senators on Sunday as a slight favorite (-125) as the Over (6.5) cashed. RW Alex DeBrincat scored the overtime winner, as Detroit has won 6 of the past 7 games, while the Over is 4-3 in the 7-game span. Detroit has scored 4 or more goals in 6 of the past 7 contests, too.

The Maple Leafs suffered a 6-3 loss against the Minnesota Wild on Monday, falling as a slight favorite (-110) as the Over (6) cashed. C Auston Matthews scored a goal with an assist. Despite the loss, Toronto is still 9-2-3 in the past 14 games, while the Over has cashed in 5 consecutive outings.

Watch the NHL on Fubo!Red Wings at Maple Leafs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:36 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Red Wings -102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Maple Leafs -118 (bet $118 to win $100)Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Wings -1.5 (+230) | Maple Leafs +1.5 (-285)Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -118 | U: -102)Red Wings at Maple Leafs projected goalies

John Gibson (19-9-1, 2.74 GAA, .902, SV%, 3 SO) vs. Joseph Woll (11-5-3, 2.90 GAA, .908 SV%, 2 SO)

Gibson is confirmed to start for the Red Wings. He has been a big part of why the Red Wings have slid into first place in the Atlantic Division. Since Dec. 2, Gibson leads the NHL with 15 victories and a .926 SV%, while he is second in the league with a 2.12 GAA in 17 starts.

Woll has been punched around in the past 2 games, allowing 11 goals on 62 shots, going 0-1-1 in games against the Vegas Golden Knights and Minnesota Wild. In January, Woll is 3-1-2 with a 3.68 GAA and .884 SV% with 1 SO in 7 starts.

Red Wings at Maple Leafs picks and predictionsPrediction

Red Wings 4, Maple Leafs 3

The RED WINGS (-102) are worth a play as slight underdogs. Detroit has been the kryptonite of Toronto this season, winning all 3 meetings. And, no goaltender has been hotter than Gibson.

The Red Wings have picked up 6 victories in the past 7 games since Jan. 5, and they’ve allowed just 2.2 goals per game (GPG) in the span.

The Maple Leafs +1.5 (-285) will set you back nearly 3 times your potential return, and that’s way too expensive if you need insurance and can’t take Toronto straight up at home.

AVOID, and look to the moneyline instead.

OVER 6 (-118) is the lean, but roll with a half-unit play at best.

The Red Wings have cashed Over in 5 of the past 9 games, and the total has gone high in 4 of the past 6 road outings.

While the Under has cashed in 2 of the 3 meetings this season, the Over has a 4-3-1 edge in the past 8 in the series. For the Maple Leafs, the Over has cashed in 5 in a row, with Toronto averaging 3.4 GPG, while allowing 4.8 GPG in the span.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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