Jan. 29, 2026, 2:57 p.m. ET

The Dallas Stars (30-14-9) and Vegas Golden Knights (25-14-13) meet Thursday at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Puck drop is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Stars vs. Golden Knights and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

2024-25 season series: Stars won 2-1

The Stars have won 2 consecutive games against the St. Louis Blues, including a 4-3 victory on the road Tuesday night as a moderate favorite (-162) with the Over (5.5) cashing. Dallas blew a 3-0 lead, as St. Louis tied it 3-3 at 15:50 of the third period. However, D Thomas Harley scored at 18:53 of the third period to save G Jake Oettinger and the Stars.

The Golden Knights wrapped up a 4-game road trip Tuesday in Montreal, falling 3-2 in OT. LW Pavel Dorofeyev scored a pair of goals, but nobody else was able to chip in as the Golden Knights lost as a -120 favorite and the Under (6.5) cashed. Vegas went 1-2-1 in the trip and is 1-3-1 in the past 5 outings. The Over cashed in 3 of Vegas’ past 4 outings, too.

Watch the NHL on Fubo!Stars at Golden Knights odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Stars -102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Golden Knights -118 (bet $118 to win $100)Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Stars +1.5 (-250) | Golden Knights -1.5 (+200)Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -110 | U: -110)Stars at Golden Knights projected goalies

Jake Oettinger (19-10-4, 2.71 GAA, .900, SV%, 2 SO) vs. Adin Hill (3-2-2, 3.53 GAA, .855 SV%)

Oettinger has won 3 straight games, sporting a 2.34 GAA and . 894 SV% in the span. After a rough start to January, allowing 13 goals in his first 3 starts, he has allowed just 13 goals in his past 6 outings.

Hill was crushed in Ottawa on Sunday, allowing 7 goals on 32 shots. He is 2-2-0 with a dismal 4.26 GAA and .825 SV% in 4 January outings since returning from a 3-month absence due to injury.

Stars at Golden Knights picks and predictionsPrediction

Stars 4, Golden Knights 3

The STARS (-102) are worth a look as slight underdogs on the road. Oettinger is playing a little bit better lately, while Hill has been having a difficult time. Overall, Vegas isn’t playing nearly as good a brand of hockey as Dallas.

Dallas has won 6 of the past 8 meetings dating back to April 27, 2024, including a first-round playoff series in 2023-24. Vegas is just 1-3-1 in its past 5 overall outings.

The Stars +1.5 (-250) will cost you 2 times your potential return, if you need insurance, but that’s way too much risk for not enough reward for my liking.

AVOID, and just look to the moneyline.

OVER 6 (-110) is the lean, but don’t get carried away.

The Over cashed in the last 2 meetings between these teams last season, both 4-3 victories for the Stars (including an OT win on Jan. 28, 2025, at T-Mobile Arena).

But be careful, as the Stars have cashed the Under in 4 of their past 5 road games and in 6 of their past 8 outings overall.

For the Golden Knights, the Over is 3-1 in their past 4 games and 8-3-1 across their previous 12, with Vegas allowing 3-plus goals in each of their past 4 contests.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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