The Anaheim Ducks (36-25-3), coming off a 4-1 win over the Winnipeg Jets, visit the Toronto Maple Leafs (27-27-11) at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday, March 12 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs fell to the Montreal Canadiens 3-1 in their last outing.

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Here’s our pick for who will clinch the win in Thursday’s game.

The Maple Leafs have gone 2-6-2 over the past 10 contests, scoring 24 total goals (six power-play goals on 21 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 28.6%). They have allowed 32 goals to their opponents.

Ducks vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this game expects a final result of Maple Leafs 4, Ducks 3.

Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-109)
Total Pick: Over 6.5 (computer predicts 6.7 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Ducks Splits and Trends

The Ducks have a 36-25-3 record overall, with a 15-3-18 record in matchups that have needed overtime.
Anaheim has 27 points (12-4-3) in the 19 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
Looking at the nine times this season the Ducks finished a game with just one goal, they have a 1-7-1 record, good for three points.
Anaheim has finished 4-5-0 in the nine games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering eight points).
The Ducks have scored more than two goals 42 times, and are 31-9-2 in those games (to register 64 points).
In the 18 games when Anaheim has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it has a 14-2-2 record (30 points).
In the 33 games when it outshot its opponent, Anaheim is 20-12-1 (41 points).
The Ducks’ opponents have had more shots in 26 games. The Ducks went 14-10-2 in those contests (30 points).
Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

The Maple Leafs have a 8-11-19 record in overtime games this season and a 27-27-11 overall record.
Toronto has earned 30 points (11-3-8) in its 22 games decided by one goal.
This season the Maple Leafs registered just one goal in seven games and they’ve earned two points (0-5-2) in those contests.
When Toronto has scored a pair of goals this season, they’ve earned 14 points (5-10-4 record).
The Maple Leafs have scored at least three goals 38 times, earning 49 points from those matchups (22-11-5).
This season, Toronto has capitalized on a single power-play goal in 21 games and picked up 18 points with a record of 6-9-6.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Toronto is 6-8-2 (14 points).
The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 47 times this season, and earned 47 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Ducks vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

When: Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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