The Tampa Bay Lightning (45-21-6) and Nashville Predators (34-30-9) meet at Benchmark International Arena on Sunday, March 29 at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Lightning defeated the Ottawa Senators 4-2 in their last outing, while the Predators are coming off a 4-1 loss to the Montreal Canadiens.

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Here is our prediction for who will clinch the win in Sunday’s game.

In the past 10 contests, the Predators are 6-3-1 while scoring 30 goals against 24 goals given up. On 24 power-play opportunities during that time, they have scored five goals (20.8%).

Lightning vs. Predators Predictions for Sunday

Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final result of Lightning 4, Predators 2.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-202)
Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.1 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning have finished 9-6-15 in overtime games to contribute to an overall record of 45-21-6.
Tampa Bay is 8-9-4 (20 points) in its 21 games decided by one goal.
In the seven games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they went 2-4-1 (five points).
Tampa Bay has finished 4-8-3 in the 15 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering 11 points).
The Lightning have scored at least three goals in 48 games (39-7-2, 80 points).
In the 26 games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it went 16-7-3 to register 35 points.
In games when it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 24-11-5 (53 points).
The Lightning’s opponents have had more shots in 30 games. The Lightning finished 19-10-1 in those contests (39 points).
Predators Splits and Trends

The Predators have a record of 34-30-9 this season and are 9-9-18 in overtime contests.
Nashville has earned 36 points (14-5-8) in its 27 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
This season the Predators scored only one goal in eight games and they’ve earned two points (1-7-0) in those contests.
When Nashville has scored a pair of goals this season, they’ve earned 16 points (5-14-6 record).
The Predators have earned 59 points in their 37 games with more than two goals scored.
Nashville has scored a lone power-play goal in 32 games this season and has recorded 35 points from those matchups.
When it outshoots its opponent this season, Nashville has posted a record of 13-11-3 (29 points).
The Predators have been outshot by opponents in 44 games, going 19-19-6 to register 44 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Predators Game Time and TV Channel

When: Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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