NHL Betting Preview: Penguins vs Islanders
The Pittsburgh Penguins meet the New York Islanders at UBS Arena, with face-off scheduled for 16:00 on Monday, March 30.
Islanders Primed to Win
There are attractive odds about the Islanders and our betting prediction is for them to benefit from home-ice advantage and win. They can get the better of the Penguins and you can get -120.
Last H2H Saw Islanders Triumph in Overtime
Pittsburgh Penguins lost when they last took to the ice. At PPG PAINTS Arena, they were turned over 6-3 at home to Dallas Stars. Erik Karlsson landed 3 points, featuring 1 goal and 2 assists.
New York Islanders won their last game 5-2, making it successive victories. This was a home win at UBS Arena against Florida Panthers. The goals were shared around between five players including Emil Heineman.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Islanders won the last encounter between the pair. Enjoying a 5-4 triumph when facing the Penguins at UBS Arena. The Islanders have won six of the past 10 games that these teams have played.
Starting Goalies
Stuart Skinner (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
21-15-9
2.9
.888
2
23/24
36-16-5
2.62
.905
2
Ilya Sorokin (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
28-18-2
2.5
.914
7
23/24
25-19-12
3.01
.908
2
Pittsburgh Penguins – Last 10 Games
4 wins, 4 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.5 goals from 26.7 shots on goal, with a 15.9% powerplay efficiency. The Penguins have been giving up 4.5 goals from 29.7 shots, averaging 4.2 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 76.2%.
Erik Karlsson is the top points scorer with 18 points, 7 goals and 11 assists, with Bryan Rust recording 13 points, 5 goals and 8 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Stuart Skinner have a 3.91 goal against average with a .877 save percentage.
New York Islanders – Last 10 Games
The Islanders have 6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 2.8 goals from 30.8 shots on goal, with a 18.4% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.6 goals from 27.0 shots, averaging 2.8 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 89.3%.
The top points scorer is Matthew Schaefer with 10 points, 2 goals and 8 assists, while Bo Horvat is next in line after having 8 points, 3 goals and 5 assists. Goalie Ilya Sorokin have a 2.36 GAA with a .910 SV%, including one shutout.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Islanders Prediction & Picks
We dive into the top Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Islanders betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.
Game Prediction
We’re heading to the Moneyline and our pick is for the home team to win this NHL encounter. They have a strong chance of landing a victory and the -120 makes plenty of appeal.
Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert hockey picks, our handicappers also analyze the latest NHL stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.
Key Penguins vs Islanders stats:
Islanders have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.Islanders have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.Islanders have won 2 consecutive games.Penguins have lost 6 of their last 10 games.Penguins have lost 12 of their last 20 games.Islanders have won 6 of their last 10 games against Penguins.Islanders Moneyline Probability
Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick has a 54.6% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this hockey bet.
Looking for Bigger Odds?
If you’re looking for greater odds, Islanders can be backed at a bigger price on the Puck Line. For more juice, also consider the Match Winner & Total Goals and Winning Margin lines.
Claim bonuses and free bets before placing a wager. Our in-depth guide shows you the best current betting offers.
Our Game Prediction
Islanders Moneyline @ -120
Watch Live
Bet Now
Thrill Promo
70% Rakeback + 10% Cashback
Get Bonus
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 29, 20:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 20:56, 29 March 2026
Player Prop Picks
Matthew Schaefer (Islanders) has had at least one assist in 3 straight games. We’re happy to take him to cover the line at -110, with bettors able to land themselves an attractive price for this to happen.
Latest Matthew Schaefer Player Prop Odds
Goals
Assists
Shots on Goal
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Islanders Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Books Struggling to Separate Teams
New York Islanders are available at Moneyline odds of -120, while opponents Pittsburgh Penguins can be backed at -100. From a percentage point-of-view, the leading sportsbooks give the visiting team a 50% chance of success.
1.5 is where the puck line lies, with total goals being 6.5 right now. A wager on Totals allows bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you fancy Over 6.5, this outcome can be backed at +108.
Whether you’re wagering pre-game or in-game, the best NHL betting sites offer a huge selection of team props and game lines. With practically endless options, it’s great to have so many alternatives to match your view of the encounter.
Bo Horvat Favorite to Light the Lamp First
The Anytime Goalscorer betting indicates that Bo Horvat has odds of +155. He is available at +1000 to find the net first which makes him favorite.
Player Goals
Bo Horvat (Islanders)
Sidney Crosby (Penguins)
Mathew Barzal (Islanders)
Bryan Rust (Penguins)
Player Assists
Matthew Schaefer (Islanders)
Mathew Barzal (Islanders)
Erik Karlsson (Penguins)
Bo Horvat (Islanders)
Player Shots
Matthew Schaefer (Islanders)
Bo Horvat (Islanders)
Sidney Crosby (Penguins)
Mathew Barzal (Islanders)
Micro Betting
It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to NHL and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, bet on the Next Goalscorer or Next Goal.
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Pittsburgh Penguins Stats
New York Islanders Stats
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games
+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games on the road
-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 8.30 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.50 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 6.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.70 goals and allowed 4.60 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.80 pts and allowed 3.70 goals in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 5.40 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 6.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.40 goals and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.7
Shots: 26.7
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 4.2
Empty Net Goals: 0
Penalty Minutes: 8.7
Blocks: 14.6
Faceoff Wins : 26.6
Hits: 20
Giveaways: 17.2
Takeaways: 4.5
Last 10 Games on the Road
Goals Powerplay: 0.7
Shots: 30.8
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 3.8
Empty Net Goals: 0.1
Penalty Minutes: 8.2
Blocks: 11.9
Faceoff Wins : 23.7
Hits: 19.1
Giveaways: 16.9
Takeaways: 5.1
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.7
Shots: 30.8
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 2.8
Empty Net Goals: 0
Penalty Minutes: 8.1
Blocks: 14.1
Faceoff Wins : 27.9
Hits: 21.9
Giveaways: 13.1
Takeaways: 4.5
Last 10 Home Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.3
Shots: 29.9
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 2.3
Empty Net Goals: 0
Penalty Minutes: 4.6
Blocks: 12.2
Faceoff Wins : 29.5
Hits: 22.1
Giveaways: 14.7
Takeaways: 4.4
Starting Lineups
Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.
Expert Analysis by Paul Boucher
Senior NHL Analyst
About the Analyst
Paul Boucher is a Senior NHL Analyst and Head of the Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel with over 15 years of experience as a sports journalist and betting analyst. Based in Montreal, he provides first-hand insight through regular attendance at the Bell Centre, utilising advanced metrics to identify market value across key game lines, player props and same game parlays.
NHL Predictions Methodology
Our NHL analysis combines the latest team news, injury reports and line changes with recent form and market movement. We factor in situational analysis like home ice advantage and schedule spots. Metrics such as Corsi, Fenwick, Expected Goals (xG) and PDO are used to evaluate puck possession, shot quality, goaltending performance and special teams efficiency beyond the traditional box score.
Full Methodology & Data Sources
Where to Bet
The betting site referenced has been independently reviewed under our published review methodology, which evaluates betting lines, odds and market depth, licensing and security, payment processes, withdrawal reliability, responsible gambling tools and additional platform criteria relevant to user experience and regulatory standards.
 Read our Thrill Analyst Review
Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on Mar 29, 20:56 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, confirmed lines and pairings, starting goaltenders, lineup changes, schedule context, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.
18+ (or legal age). If gambling is causing harm or distress, support is available. Visit our Gamble Responsibly hub for safer gambling tools, self-exclusion options and local helplines.
Editorial Policy | Disclaimer