The Tampa Bay Lightning (47-22-6) host the Boston Bruins (43-25-8) after Anthony Cirelli recorded a hat trick in the Lightning’s 6-3 win over the Pittsburgh Penguins. The matchup on Saturday starts at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here’s a peek at which club we think will emerge with the victory in Saturday’s action on the ice.

Over the last 10 games, the Bruins have recorded a 6-2-2 record after scoring 37 total goals (six power-play goals on 28 power-play opportunities during that span, for a success rate of 21.4%). Their opponents have scored a combined 27 goals in those games.

Lightning vs. Bruins Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projection model for this encounter predicts a final result of Lightning 4, Bruins 2.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-183)
Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning (47-22-6 overall) have a 9-6-15 record in matchups that have needed overtime.
In the 22 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 9-9-4 record (good for 22 points).
The eight times this season the Lightning ended a game with only one goal, they went 2-5-1 (five points).
Tampa Bay has scored a pair of goals in 15 games this season (4-8-3 record, 11 points).
The Lightning have scored at least three goals in 50 games (41-7-2, 84 points).
In the 26 games when Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal, it has a 16-7-3 record (35 points).
When it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 25-12-5 (55 points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 31 times, and went 20-10-1 (41 points).
Bruins Splits and Trends

The Bruins (43-25-8 overall) have posted a record of 12-8-20 in contests that have required OT this season.
In the 27 games Boston has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 35 points.
In nine games this season when the Bruins finished a game with just one goal, they earned a total of three points (1-7-1).
When Boston has scored exactly two goals this season, they’ve earned 13 points (6-9-1 record).
The Bruins have scored three or more goals 51 times, earning 78 points from those matchups (36-9-6).
Boston has scored a single power-play goal in 34 games this season and has recorded 39 points from those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Boston is 16-11-3 (35 points).
The Bruins’ opponents have had more shots in 44 games. The Bruins went 27-12-5 in those contests (59 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Bruins Game Time and TV Channel

When: Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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