A pair of the top teams in the Eastern Conference, the Tampa Bay Lightning (second in the conference at 48-22-6) and the Buffalo Sabres (fourth at 46-23-8), square off on Monday, April 6 at 7 p.m. ET on NHL Network.

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As hockey action continues, get ready for the contest by checking out which team we project to capture the win in Monday’s game.

The Sabres have put up a 5-3-2 record over their past 10 contests. They have totaled 30 goals while conceding 28 in that time. On the power play, 28 opportunities have resulted in six goals (21.4% conversion rate).

Lightning vs. Sabres Predictions for Monday

Our computer projection model for this contest calls for a final result of Lightning 4, Sabres 3.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-115)
Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Sabres (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning have finished 9-6-15 in overtime matchups to contribute to an overall record of 48-22-6.
In the 22 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 9-9-4 record (good for 22 points).
The eight times this season the Lightning ended a game with just one goal, they went 2-5-1 (five points).
Tampa Bay has scored exactly two goals in 15 games this season (4-8-3 record, 11 points).
The Lightning are 42-7-2 in the 51 games when they have scored more than two goals (to register 86 points).
In the 26 games when Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 16-7-3 to register 35 points.
In the 43 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 26-12-5 (57 points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 31 games, going 20-10-1 to register 41 points.
Sabres Splits and Trends

The Sabres have a record of 46-23-8 this season and are 8-8-16 in overtime contests.
Buffalo has earned 28 points (10-3-8) in its 21 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
This season the Sabres scored just one goal in eight games and they finished 0-7-1 in those matchups.
When Buffalo has scored two goals this season, they’ve earned 12 points (6-9-0 record).
The Sabres have earned 87 points in their 51 games with at least three goals scored.
Buffalo has scored a single power-play goal in 27 games this season and has registered 40 points from those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Buffalo is 18-11-2 (38 points).
The Sabres have been outshot by opponents in 46 games, going 28-12-6 to register 62 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Sabres Game Time and TV Channel

When: Monday, April 6, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
TV Channel: NHL Network
Where: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, New York

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