NHL Betting Preview: Capitals vs Penguins
The Washington Capitals go up against the Pittsburgh Penguins at PPG PAINTS Arena, with face-off scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, April 11.
Penguins Stand Out as a Value Bet
There are attractive odds about the Penguins and our betting prediction is for them to benefit from home-ice advantage and win. They can get the better of the Capitals and you can get -128.
5-3 Penguins Triumph in Previous H2H
Washington Capitals got the win in their previous game. A 4-0 triumph occurred on the road at Scotiabank Arena when playing Toronto Maple Leafs. Martin Fehervary was one of four different players on the scoresheet. For the shutout, Logan Thompson made 22 saves.
Pittsburgh Penguins won their last game 5-2, making it three on the bounce. This was a road victory at Prudential Center against New Jersey Devils. There were five different goalscorers including Erik Karlsson. Goalie Stuart Skinner played a starring role, stopping 21 shots (1.105).
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Penguins have claimed consecutive wins over the Caps. Both victories were achieved at PPG PAINTS Arena, with a 5-2 followed by a 5-3 scoreline. We’ve seen six Penguins wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.
Starting Goalies
Logan Thompson (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
29-21-6
2.5
.912
3
23/24
25-14-3
2.7
.908
1
Stuart Skinner (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
23-16-9
2.9
.889
2
23/24
36-16-5
2.62
.905
2
Washington Capitals – Last 10 Games
6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.5 goals from 23.7 shots on goal, with a 14.0% powerplay efficiency. The Caps have been giving up 3.6 goals from 29.9 shots, averaging 4.8 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.5%.
Alexander Ovechkin is the top points scorer with 9 points, 6 goals and 3 assists, with Tom Wilson racking up 9 points, 4 goals and 5 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Logan Thompson have a 2.88 goal against average with a .902 save percentage, including one shutout.
Pittsburgh Penguins – Last 10 Games
The Penguins have 6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 4.4 goals from 27.5 shots on goal, with a 16.7% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.8 goals from 26.5 shots, averaging 4.0 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 75.0%.
The top points scorer is Rickard Rakell with 13 points, 10 goals and 3 assists, while Yegor Chinakhov is next in line after having 12 points, 6 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Stuart Skinner have a 3.17 GAA with a .877 SV%.
Washington Capitals vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction & Picks
Take on Washington Capitals vs Pittsburgh Penguins with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice and a value-driven bet builder. Scroll down for the full breakdown.
Game Prediction
There is a strong case that Pittsburgh Penguins will end up winning and that means heading to the Moneyline. You can get a generous -128 that the home team triumph in this NHL encounter.
Our NHL handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each franchise, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.
Key Capitals vs Penguins stats:
Penguins have won 4 of their last 5 games.Penguins have won 6 of their last 10 games.Penguins have won 3 consecutive games.Capitals have lost 13 of their last 20 games on the road.Capitals have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.Penguins have won the last 2 games between these teams.Penguins Moneyline Probability
Based on the odds from the top NHL sportsbooks, there’s a 56.2% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this hockey bet.
Looking for Bigger Odds?
Pittsburgh are available at a range of odds against the Puck Line. If you are looking for more juice, then consider this option and choose the right bet for you.
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Our Game Prediction
Penguins Moneyline @ -128
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 10, 16:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 16:56, 10 April 2026
Washington Capitals vs Pittsburgh Penguins Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Books Have Penguins as Favorites
With a 56% chance of securing victory, Pittsburgh Penguins are favorites for this game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -128. Washington Capitals are the underdogs at +106 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 6.5. A wager on Totals allows bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you want to wager Over 6.5, there are odds of -106.
Every National Hockey League matchup brings hundreds of team props and game lines to explore, with the top betting apps delivering a deep lineup of pre-game and in-game markets.
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Washington Capitals Stats
Pittsburgh Penguins Stats
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games
+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 7.20 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.60 pts and allowed 4.00 goals in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 8.30 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 8.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 6.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.50 goals and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.90 goals and allowed 4.10 goals in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.7
Shots: 23.7
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 4.8
Empty Net Goals: 0.4
Penalty Minutes: 14.3
Blocks: 11.5
Faceoff Wins : 25.8
Hits: 18.8
Giveaways: 14.7
Takeaways: 5.6
Last 10 Games on the Road
Goals Powerplay: 0.5
Shots: 23.8
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 4.9
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 13.7
Blocks: 12.9
Faceoff Wins : 25.9
Hits: 19.4
Giveaways: 14.6
Takeaways: 5.5
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.7
Shots: 27.5
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 4
Empty Net Goals: 0.1
Penalty Minutes: 9.2
Blocks: 14.8
Faceoff Wins : 27.7
Hits: 15.7
Giveaways: 16
Takeaways: 5
Last 10 Home Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.7
Shots: 27.2
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 4.4
Empty Net Goals: 0
Penalty Minutes: 11.1
Blocks: 14.9
Faceoff Wins : 27.7
Hits: 18.8
Giveaways: 16
Takeaways: 4.8
Starting Lineups
Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.
Expert Analysis by Paul Boucher
Senior NHL Analyst
About the Analyst
Paul Boucher is a Senior NHL Analyst and Head of the Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel with over 15 years of experience as a sports journalist and betting analyst. Based in Montreal, he provides first-hand insight through regular attendance at the Bell Centre, utilising advanced metrics to identify market value across key game lines, player props and same game parlays.
NHL Predictions Methodology
Our NHL analysis combines the latest team news, injury reports and line changes with recent form and market movement. We factor in situational analysis like home ice advantage and schedule spots. Metrics such as Corsi, Fenwick, Expected Goals (xG) and PDO are used to evaluate puck possession, shot quality, goaltending performance and special teams efficiency beyond the traditional box score.
Full Methodology & Data Sources
Where to Bet
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Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on Apr 10, 16:56 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, confirmed lines and pairings, starting goaltenders, lineup changes, schedule context, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.
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