NHL Betting Preview: Red Wings vs Lightning
The Detroit Red Wings square off against the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena, with face-off scheduled for 16:00 on Monday, April 13.
Side With Lightning to Secure a Victory
The best wager could be backing the Lightning to claim a regulation time victory when clashing with the Red Wings. Our prediction can be taken at -118 on the 3-Way Moneyline which yields a potentially nice return.
Lightning Won 4-1 in Teams’ Previous H2H
Detroit Red Wings lost when they last took to the ice. At Little Caesars Arena, they were turned over 5-3 at home to New Jersey Devils. Emmitt Finnie, Justin Faulk and David Perron scored one goal each.
Tampa Bay Lightning have landed two consecutive home wins. Their last game was a 2-1 road triumph at TD Garden when meeting Boston Bruins. Brandon Hagel and Emil Lilleberg scored one goal each. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy made a total of 19 saves (.950).
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Lightning have claimed victories in the last two encounters against the Red Wings. At Little Caesars Arena, the scoreline was 6-3 and then we saw 4-1 at Benchmark International Arena. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Red Wings have won six.
Starting Goalies
John Gibson (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
29-21-4
2.7
.903
4
23/24
13-27-1
3.54
.888
0
Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)
Season
W-L-OTL:
GAA:
SV%:
SO:
24/25
38-15-4
2.3
.911
2
23/24
30-20-2
2.9
.900
2
Detroit Red Wings – Last 10 Games
3 wins, 6 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.2 goals from 27.6 shots on goal, with a 25.7% powerplay efficiency. The Red Wings have been giving up 3.7 goals from 27.8 shots, averaging 3.5 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 80.0%.
Patrick Kane is the top points scorer with 14 points, 4 goals and 10 assists, with Dylan Larkin recording 12 points, 6 goals and 6 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie John Gibson have a 3.42 goal against average with a .882 save percentage.
Tampa Bay Lightning – Last 10 Games
The Lightning have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.7 goals from 27.8 shots on goal, with a 3.3% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.9 goals from 25.2 shots, averaging 6.6 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 93.9%.
The top points scorer is Jake Guentzel with 13 points, 5 goals and 8 assists, while Nikita Kucherov is next in line after having 8 points, 3 goals and 5 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.27 GAA with a .903 SV%.
Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks
Prepare for Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning with our expert betting guide featuring a trusted match prediction, a correct score recommendation and a well-crafted bet builder.
Game Prediction
The -118 about Tampa Bay Lightning look really attractive when it comes to the 60-minute line. We think their opponents can be beaten in this NHL encounter, so this is our pick.
It’s important to know which players are unavailable for the upcoming action along with the current form of each NHL franchise. If you’re after stats, you’re in the right place because they form the foundation of our hockey picks.
Key Red Wings vs Lightning stats:
Lightning have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.Lightning have won 15 of their last 20 games at home.Lightning have won 2 consecutive games at home.Red Wings have lost 4 of their last 5 games.Red Wings have lost 7 of their last 10 games.Lightning have won the last 2 games between these teams.Lightning 3-Way Moneyline Probability
If you go by the best NHL sportsbooks, our pick has a 54.1% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
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Our Game Prediction
Lightning 3-Way Moneyline @ -118
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 12, 20:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 20:56, 12 April 2026
Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Books Have Lightning as Favorites
The sportsbooks have Tampa Bay Lightning at -192 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 66% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. Detroit Red Wings are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +158.
There is a puck line of 1.5 and total goals has a line of 6.5. The Totals offers hockey bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you’re going for Over 6.5, then the odds are +106.
Take every angle into account when betting on the National Hockey League. With hundreds of team props and game lines available at the top sportsbooks, it’s all about finding the market that aligns with your game prediction.
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Detroit Red Wings Stats
Tampa Bay Lightning Stats
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 7.00 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.70 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.60 pts and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 6.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.70 goals and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.40 goals and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.9
Shots: 27.6
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 3.5
Empty Net Goals: 0.1
Penalty Minutes: 8.7
Blocks: 13.8
Faceoff Wins : 27.8
Hits: 19.8
Giveaways: 13.6
Takeaways: 4.7
Last 10 Games on the Road
Goals Powerplay: 0.5
Shots: 26.2
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 3.3
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 7.4
Blocks: 10.1
Faceoff Wins : 26.4
Hits: 19.1
Giveaways: 14.3
Takeaways: 5.2
Last 10 Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.2
Shots: 27.8
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 6.6
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 18
Blocks: 15.7
Faceoff Wins : 26.3
Hits: 21.6
Giveaways: 16.6
Takeaways: 4.3
Last 10 Home Games
Goals Powerplay: 0.5
Shots: 27.2
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 5.5
Empty Net Goals: 0.5
Penalty Minutes: 13.3
Blocks: 17.7
Faceoff Wins : 25.7
Hits: 21.4
Giveaways: 14.2
Takeaways: 3.2
Starting Lineups
Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.
Expert Analysis by Paul Boucher
Senior NHL Analyst
About the Analyst
Paul Boucher is a Senior NHL Analyst and Head of the Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel with over 15 years of experience as a sports journalist and betting analyst. Based in Montreal, he provides first-hand insight through regular attendance at the Bell Centre, utilising advanced metrics to identify market value across key game lines, player props and same game parlays.
NHL Predictions Methodology
Our NHL analysis combines the latest team news, injury reports and line changes with recent form and market movement. We factor in situational analysis like home ice advantage and schedule spots. Metrics such as Corsi, Fenwick, Expected Goals (xG) and PDO are used to evaluate puck possession, shot quality, goaltending performance and special teams efficiency beyond the traditional box score.
Full Methodology & Data Sources
Where to Bet
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Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on Apr 12, 20:56 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, confirmed lines and pairings, starting goaltenders, lineup changes, schedule context, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.
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