{"id":20627,"date":"2025-05-09T01:29:07","date_gmt":"2025-05-09T01:29:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/20627\/"},"modified":"2025-05-09T01:29:07","modified_gmt":"2025-05-09T01:29:07","slug":"leafs-at-panthers-odds-picks-and-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/20627\/","title":{"rendered":"Leafs at Panthers odds, picks and predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Toronto Maple Leafs<\/a> meet the Florida Panthers<\/a> for Game 3 of their Eastern Conference semifinal Friday. The Stanley Cup Playoffs battle at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida, will start at 7 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s<\/a> NHL odds around the Maple Leafs vs. Panthers odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Series: Toronto leads 2-0<\/p>\n

The Maple Leafs have prevailed in a pair of 1-goal games to take control of the best-of-7 series to reach the Eastern Conference final. They won 4-3 in Wednesday’s Game 2, getting a Mitch Marner go-ahead goal in the sixth minute of the third period and protecting the lead the rest of the way. They won 5-4 in Game 1 on Monday.<\/p>\n

The Panthers had 2 leads over the first 25 minutes of Game 2, but both slipped away. Florida, which beat the Tampa Bay Lightning<\/a> 4-1 in its first-round series, is playing just its third home game in these 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs. The Panthers are 6-2 across their last 8 postseason games on home ice.<\/p>\n

Stream the NHL all season on ESPN+<\/a>, with your team’s out-of-market games, exclusive games, originals and more. Get ESPN+<\/a> now!<\/p>\n

Maple Leafs at Panthers odds<\/p>\n

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook<\/a>; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub<\/a> for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:34 p.m. ET.<\/p>\n

Moneyline (ML): Maple Leafs +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Panthers -235 (bet $235 to win $100)Puck line (PL)\/Against the spread (ATS): Maple Leafs +1.5 (-140) | Panthers -1.5 (+118)Over\/Under (O\/U): 6 (O: -105 | U: -115)Maple Leafs at Panthers projected goalies<\/p>\n

Joseph Woll (2025 playoffs: 2-0-0, 4.00 GAA, .875 SV%) vs. Sergei Bobrovsky (4-3-0, 2.86 GAA, .876 SV%)<\/p>\n

Woll has been between the pipes in place of G Anthony Stolarz, who is out with an upper body injury. Woll registered a .909 SV% in 42 regular-season games and owns a .919 SV% across 9 career playoff games.<\/p>\n

Bobrovsky allowed 4 goals while making 16 stops in Wednesday’s game. Over his last 5 games, he owns an .850 SV%.<\/p>\n

Play our free daily Pick\u2019em Challenge<\/a> and win! Play now<\/a>!<\/p>\n

Maple Leafs at Panthers picks and predictionsPrediction<\/p>\n

Florida 4, Toronto 1<\/p>\n

No interest: PASS.<\/p>\n

Prior to this series, Florida had won 4 of its last 5 games (4-1-0) against Toronto and 3 of those 4 wins were by 2-plus goals.<\/p>\n

Its going to take a rally by Bobrovsky, but the Panthers are the value side in this one. They have been developing better 5-on-5 chances, but the Leafs have still scored 8 even-strength goals over the 2 games.<\/p>\n

Toronto’s offense ranks last in the playoffs when it comes to generating high-danger 5-on-5 looks (per NaturalStatTrick). Woll makes for a question mark, and a previously hot Toronto power play has cooled over recent games (the Leafs are 2 for their last 16 in that department).<\/p>\n

A year ago, Bobrovsky had an .892 SV% through 9 playoff games. He hard-charged his way to a .914 SV% over the balance of Florida’s Stanley Cup run. During the regular season, Florida’s best rest split was the one-day category. When coming off a lone off day, the Panthers went 28-15-2.<\/p>\n

TAKE FLORIDA -1.5 (+118).<\/p>\n

Just a sliver of a lean on bettors overvaluing the results of the first 2 games here. The 5-on-5 expected-goal numbers would call for a tighter, lower-scoring Game 3.<\/p>\n

The previous six Leafs-Panthers games (regular and postseason) were tabbed with a total of 5.5.<\/p>\n

TAKE THE UNDER 6 (-115).<\/p>\n

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com<\/a> and BetFTW<\/a>.<\/p>\n

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