Jan. 11, 2026, 11:53 p.m. ET<\/p>\n
The Tampa Bay Lightning<\/a> (27-13-3) and Philadelphia Flyers<\/a> (22-13-8) meet Monday. Puck drop from Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia,\u00a0Pennsylvania, is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s<\/a> NHL odds around the Lightning vs. Flyers odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions<\/a>.<\/p>\n Season series: Lightning lead 2-0<\/p>\n The Lightning extended their winning streak to 9 games Saturday with a dominant 7-2 road victory over Philadelphia in the first game of a home-and-home series. Tampa Bay cashed as a -182 favorite as the over (7.5) hit. Tampa Bay won 3-0 in the first meeting of the season Nov. 24.<\/p>\n On Saturday, RW Nikita Kucherov scored on his first 2 shots, stretching his point streak to 9 games. He added 2 assists, including helpers on both goals by C Gage Goncalves. Kucherov finished with 4 points, his third such performance this month. He has 22 goals and 43 assists in 39 games.<\/p>\n The Flyers suffered a second straight loss despite ending a long scoring drought. RW Garnet Hathaway scored his first goal since April 13, snapping a 44-game skid, by tipping in a shot from D Noah Juulsen. RW Owen Tippett also found the net, while G Samuel Ersson stopped 16 shots.<\/p>\n Watch the NHL on Fubo!<\/a>Lightning at Flyers odds<\/p>\n Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook<\/a>; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub<\/a> for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:45 p.m. ET.<\/p>\n Moneyline (ML): Lightning -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Flyers +125 (bet $100 to win $125)Puck line (PL)\/Against the spread (ATS): Lightning -1.5 (+155) | Flyers +1.5 (-190)Over\/Under (O\/U): 6 (O: -120 | U: +100)Lightning at Flyers projected goalies<\/p>\n Andrei Vasilevskiy (18-7-2, 2.33 GAA, .912 SV%, 1 SO) vs.\u00a0Samuel Ersson (6-6-4, 3.33 GAA, .857 SV%)<\/p>\n Vasilevskiy remained unbeaten in 2026 after Saturday\u2019s win over the Flyers, stopping 18-of-20 shots. He is 3-0-0 in January with a 2.33 GAA and .907 save percentage. He owns a 17-4-1 career record against Philadelphia with a 1.98 GAA and .934 save percentage.<\/p>\n Ersson struggled again vs. the Lightning, allowing 7 goals on 23 shots in Saturday\u2019s loss. He has surrendered 21 goals over his last 5 starts and holds a 1-3-1 record in that span. His career numbers versus Tampa Bay reflect similar difficulty, entering with a 0-2-0 record, 4.56 GAA and .775 SV%.<\/p>\n Lightning at Flyers picks and predictionsPrediction<\/p>\n Lightning 5, Flyers 2<\/p>\n PASS.<\/p>\n If you’d feel more comfortable betting the Lightning (-155) straight up, that’s understandable, but I’ll take the plus odds on the puck line.<\/p>\n BET LIGHTNING -1.5 (+155).<\/p>\n The case to lay the puck line with the Lightning is straightforward. Tampa Bay enters Monday riding a 9-game winning streak and just dismantled the Philadelphia Flyers 7-2 in this same building Saturday. In 2 meetings this season, the Lightning have outscored Philadelphia 10-2 and controlled play in every phase.<\/p>\n The offense is humming behind Kucherov, who carries a 9-game point streak and torched the Flyers with a 4-point night. His ability to create off the rush has consistently exposed Philadelphia\u2019s defensive breakdowns.<\/p>\n At the other end, Vasilevskiy continues to anchor things. He owns a dominant career track record against the Flyers and is locked in during this winning run. Philadelphia, meanwhile, remains shorthanded, with injuries to key contributors like RW Travis Konecny thinning an already inconsistent lineup.<\/p>\n The Flyers\u2019 motivation for a response is noted, but Tampa Bay\u2019s form, depth and matchup edges point to another multi-goal win.<\/p>\n BET OVER 6 (-120).<\/p>\n This matchup has trended high, with the Over hitting in 6 of the last 9 meetings, including Saturday\u2019s blowout. Tampa Bay is rolling offensively, ranking third in the NHL at 3.5 goals per game and averaging more than 4 goals during its 9-game win streak. Philadelphia has also seen the Over cash in 7 of its last 10, and injuries have only weakened its defensive structure.<\/p>\n For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com<\/a> and BetFTW<\/a>.<\/p>\n Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter\/X<\/a> and like us on Facebook<\/a>.<\/p>\n