{"id":433322,"date":"2026-01-28T23:20:49","date_gmt":"2026-01-28T23:20:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/433322\/"},"modified":"2026-01-28T23:20:49","modified_gmt":"2026-01-28T23:20:49","slug":"the-trade-and-extend-move-is-becoming-a-gamble-pro-hockey-rumors","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/433322\/","title":{"rendered":"The Trade-And-Extend Move Is Becoming A Gamble \u2013 Pro Hockey Rumors"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Stars forward <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/r\/roberja01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.prohockeyrumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-01-27_hr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Jason Robertson<\/a> is having another terrific season at just the right time. He\u2019s set to become an RFA this summer and should be handsomely rewarded on his next contract.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">One wrinkle with his next contract is that it could come with a team other than Dallas, given that they already have so much big money committed to members of their core (<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/puckpedia.com\/team\/dallas-stars\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">just $16.4MM in cap space available next year, per PuckPedia<\/a>). If Robertson is moved, it would likely be via trade to a team hoping to sign him to a long-term deal. But given that many of these types of transactions have failed in the past, should teams be doing it?<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The trade-then-sign isn\u2019t an official title for a series of moves in which a team trades for a player and then locks them up shortly after the trade, but that\u2019s effectively what it is. A few recent examples include the Senators <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.prohockeyrumors.com\/2024\/06\/senators-acquire-linus-ullmark.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">trading for<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/u\/ullmali01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.prohockeyrumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-01-27_hr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Linus Ullmark<\/a>\u00a0and then <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.prohockeyrumors.com\/2024\/10\/senators-to-sign-linus-ullmark-to-four-year-extension.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">signing him shortly after<\/a>, or the Flames and Panthers <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.prohockeyrumors.com\/2022\/07\/florida-panthers-to-acquire-matthew-tkachuk.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">linking up<\/a> on the infamous <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/h\/huberjo01.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Jonathan Huberdeau<\/a>-for-<a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/t\/tkachma01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.prohockeyrumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-01-27_hr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Matthew Tkachuk<\/a> trade that launched Florida on a potential dynasty while effectively slamming the door on Calgary\u2019s contention window.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Therin lies the risk with these kinds of moves. Trading for a player and then signing them immediately to an extension leaves you open to the possibility that they aren\u2019t a good fit, and you end up with a Huberdeau situation instead of a Tkachuk one.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Flames and Senators are hardly the only teams to fall victim to this kind of thing. In fact, the Senators have dealt with it before with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/r\/ryanbo01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.prohockeyrumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-01-27_hr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Bobby Ryan<\/a>. Ottawa <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nhl\/news\/senators-acquire-bobby-ryan-from-ducks-for-silfverberg-first-rounder\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">traded for Ryan in 2013<\/a>, a move in response to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/a\/alfreda01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.prohockeyrumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-01-27_hr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Daniel Alfredsson<\/a> leaving the franchise to <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nhl\/news\/daniel-alfredsson-signs-one-year-deal-with-detroit-red-wings\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">sign with Detroit<\/a>. The trade effectively boxed the Senators into <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/puckpedia.com\/signing\/599\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">signing Ryan to a long-term contract<\/a>, which they did, resulting in an albatross contract that was <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.prohockeyrumors.com\/2022\/07\/florida-panthers-to-acquire-matthew-tkachuk.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">eventually bought out<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Vancouver is learning a similar lesson with defenseman <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/p\/pettema01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.prohockeyrumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-01-27_hr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Marcus Pettersson<\/a>, who was a top-pairing defenseman in Pittsburgh <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.prohockeyrumors.com\/2025\/02\/vancouver-canucks-acquire-marcus-pettersson-drew-oconnor.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">but was dealt to the Canucks<\/a> last year, before the trade deadline, and has never been a fit. Vancouver was quick to <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.prohockeyrumors.com\/2025\/02\/canucks-sign-marcus-pettersson-to-six-year-extension.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">ink Pettersson to a six-year deal last year<\/a>, shortly after acquiring him, and, like Ullmark, Huberdeau and Ryan, he has not worked out as planned.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The list could go on and on. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/m\/meierti01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.prohockeyrumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-01-27_hr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Timo Meier<\/a> in New Jersey, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/j\/jonesse01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.prohockeyrumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-01-27_hr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Seth Jones<\/a> in Chicago, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/search\/search.fcgi?pid=murrama02,murrama03&amp;search=Matt+Murray&amp;utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.prohockeyrumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-01-27_hr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Matt Murray<\/a> in Ottawa, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/d\/duboipi01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.prohockeyrumors.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-01-27_hr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Pierre-Luc Dubois<\/a> in Los Angeles. All of these moves had a few things in common. The teams signed the players to extensions before the fit was ever stress-tested.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Take Huberdeau, who <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nhl.com\/flames\/news\/flames-acquire-huberdeau-weegar-335071552\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">was acquired<\/a> in late July 2022. Within two weeks, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.prohockeyrumors.com\/2022\/08\/calgary-flames-extend-jonathan-huberdeau.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">he signed an eight-year, $84MM extension<\/a> to remain with the Flames. Pettersson had a similar trajectory in Vancouver, as <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.prohockeyrumors.com\/2025\/02\/vancouver-canucks-acquire-marcus-pettersson-drew-oconnor.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">he was acquired<\/a> in early February 2025 and <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.prohockeyrumors.com\/2025\/02\/canucks-sign-marcus-pettersson-to-six-year-extension.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">signed his six-year extension<\/a> less than a week later. The same story with Murray and the Ottawa Senators, as <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.prohockeyrumors.com\/2020\/10\/ottawa-senators-acquire-matt-murray.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">he was acquired<\/a> in early October 2020 and <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.prohockeyrumors.com\/2020\/10\/ottawa-senators-sign-matt-murray-to-four-year-extension.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">re-upped within two days<\/a>, having never played a game in Canada\u2019s capital city.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Again, the examples are endless, and the failures in these situations appear to share several common traits. In the three examples of Huberdeau, Pettersson, and Murray, they had essentially never played for the teams they were signing with, meaning no one knew whether they would work out with their new teams, making it a gamble for the acquiring team. But the trades themselves, and the players\u2019 contractual status, essentially forced the team that gave up the assets in the trade to lock up the player or risk \u201closing the asset for nothing.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It\u2019s something that happens in every sport, where teams acquire pending UFAs. For whatever reason, some teams have felt compelled to extend the player before they even have a look at how the player will work out with their new team. And make no mistake, most of the teams that have extended the player right away probably regret their decision. There is no way Ottawa was happy with the Murray era, and Calgary has another five years of headaches with the Huberdeau deal.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Often, a player\u2019s signing is a move to protect a GM\u2019s short-term reputation rather than to focus on long-term projections. In fact, most of the time, the GM never lasts the length of the deal he is handing out, as was the case with Brad Treliving in Calgary and Pierre Dorion in Ottawa.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The thing about rushing to sign a player you really don\u2019t know, beyond scouting their on-ice performance, is that once you ink the deal, there is no easy escape, or do-overs. You are locked into a player you don\u2019t really know, and outside of asking mutual friends, acquaintances, or previous employers, you don\u2019t have first-hand experience with the person in most cases. It would be like running a business and then hiring an employee you\u2019ve seen on television but never spoken to.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But in hockey, as in all sports, market and ownership pressures, egos, and reputations can all play a role in transactions, contracts, and player management. As much as it probably stings for GMs to ink a bad contract with a player, they would probably all do it again if given another opportunity.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The truth is that trading for a player is always risky, while trading for a player and immediately extending them is often how NHL GMs try to save their jobs. Usually, it\u2019s the move that leads them to the unemployment line.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Stars forward Jason Robertson is having another terrific season at just the right time. He\u2019s set to become&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":433323,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[5,4,697],"class_list":{"0":"post-433322","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nhl","8":"tag-hockey","9":"tag-nhl","10":"tag-pro-hockey-rumors-originals"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nhl\/115975296709603604","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/433322","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=433322"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/433322\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/433323"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=433322"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=433322"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=433322"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}