{"id":453073,"date":"2026-02-10T10:55:17","date_gmt":"2026-02-10T10:55:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/453073\/"},"modified":"2026-02-10T10:55:17","modified_gmt":"2026-02-10T10:55:17","slug":"tricky-goalie-decisions-for-canada-and-the-usa-could-make-or-break-their-olympics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/453073\/","title":{"rendered":"Tricky goalie decisions for Canada and the USA could make or break their Olympics"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>MILAN \u2014 The co-favorites for gold in men\u2019s hockey each have a tricky goaltending decision to make.<\/p>\n<p>It is not the same decision, mind you. Team USA needs to pick between three Ferraris. Team Canada has to decide what hot hand will emerge from what the outside world has pinpointed as its weakest link.<\/p>\n<p>But within all that, they\u2019re still equally potentially thorny decisions nonetheless in net for each powerhouse team.<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s dive into it:<\/p>\n<p>Team USA<\/p>\n<p>As Brock Nelson said Monday, the United States has a luxury of riches in goal with Connor Hellebuyck, Jake Oettinger and Jeremy Swayman, \u201cbut who knows who they go with?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI\u2019m glad I don\u2019t have to make that decision,\u201d the veteran center said. \u201cI\u2019m glad they\u2019re behind me though.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Former NHL goalie Brian Boucher, working the NBC men\u2019s hockey broadcast, said the U.S. may actually have a trickier decision than Canada because all three are upper-echelon goalies.<\/p>\n<p>But judging by Monday\u2019s practice, the net may be Hellebuyck\u2019s to lose after his strong play at last year\u2019s 4 Nations Face-Off and, of course, the fact that he\u2019s the NHL\u2019s reigning Hart and Vezina Trophy winner.<\/p>\n<p>Hellebuyck said, \u201cWe\u2019ll know soon enough.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>What makes this a tough call is that Swayman, who didn\u2019t get playing time in the 4 Nations, may arguably be playing better this season than Hellebuyck and Oettinger.<\/p>\n<p>Hellebuyck is 13-16-7 with the Winnipeg Jets with a 2.79 goals-against average and .900 save percentage, and ranks 24th in goals saved above expected at five-on-five at 3.5, according to Money Puck. Oettinger is 23-10-4 for the Dallas Stars with a 2.73 goals-against average and .897 save percentage. He ranks 26th in goals saved above expected at 0.7.<\/p>\n<p>Swayman is 22-12-3 for the Boston Bruins with a 2.92 goals-against average and .903 save percentage but ranks second in the NHL in goals saved above expected at 17.9. And it\u2019s clear Swayman hopes to grab the spot at some point.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat\u2019s our job, baby: make it hard for them,\u201d Swayman said. \u201cWe want that. We want that high competitive environment, and I think it\u2019s only going to raise our own level as well as the team\u2019s level.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Added Oettinger, \u201cThat\u2019s the tough part about being a goalie. I wish all three of us could stand in there at same time. If I get my number called, I just got to be ready to go and try to play my best, and then hopefully they keep calling my number. Obviously it\u2019s out of my control, and until then, I\u2019m just gonna work my butt off and stay sharp and try to be ready to go.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Goalie analytics are tricky. Sometimes you want to see a big body of work to make a decision. Other times it can be a game of \u201cwhat have you done for me lately.\u201d Recent trends can be very illuminating, especially when it comes to goaltending decisions for Canada and the USA.<\/p>\n<p>For that, our analytics expert Dom Luszczyszyn looked at a rolling average of a goalie\u2019s last 41 games of goals saved above expected per game.<\/p>\n<p>For Canada, he felt the choice should be obvious. For the United States, the choice looks a lot more wide-open since Hellebuyck came back from injury. He\u2019s only played 22 games since, but has an average GSAx of minus-0.13 during that stretch. Swayman\u2019s return to form this year makes it a legitimate conversation.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-09-at-7.10.42\u202fAM.png\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-7033701 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2026-02-09-at-7.10.42\u202fAM.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2078\" height=\"1504\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Coach Mike Sullivan has not named a starter for the United States\u2019 opener Thursday against Latvia, but he said they have a plan.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019ve obviously talked about this stuff at length on what our approach is going to be and how we\u2019re going to go about it,\u201d he said. \u201cThe reality is we have three excellent goalies. They\u2019re all very capable. I think at the end of the day, performance will inevitably be the dictator. In a tournament like this, it has to be. And so, we have an idea going in of how we want to go about it and how we want to approach it and we\u2019ll go from there. I do think that performance matters, and so that will be part of it as the tournament evolves.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhat I will tell you is that we feel regardless of which guy we put in, we have three elite goaltenders, all of which will give us an opportunity to win. That we know. We\u2019ll do our best to make the best decisions for the team. That\u2019s a discussion we have with our goaltenders, and that\u2019s how we\u2019ll go about it.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Hellebuyck still has the inside track because of his play at the 4 Nations.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI can understand the pace of play and the speed,\u201d he said. \u201cI know what\u2019s expected with the way we play and what\u2019s expected around me. There\u2019s some good takeaways, and other than that I\u2019m just going to enjoy every single day over here.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Team Canada<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s sit back and consider the Canadian goalie history at play when it comes to the NHL-populated Olympics: Patrick Roy in 1998, Martin Brodeur in 2002 and 2006, Roberto Luongo in 2010, Carey Price in 2014.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s a lineage that we brought up with Jordan Binnington, Darcy Kuemper and Logan Thompson after practice Monday.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat\u2019s special,\u201d said Binnington. \u201cI think it\u2019s hit me more and more as I\u2019m here and just how big of a deal it is and what an honor it is, truly, to represent your country. Obviously some great names, great goaltenders have played for this organization and had success. History is such an important part of the game for you to understand what it takes and learn from their experiences and be inspired by moments they\u2019ve had.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>But at the same time, all three Canadian goalies understand that it\u2019s in fact because of that world-class goalie lineage that there\u2019s a narrative now about the drop-off at the position at these Olympics. They get it.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou know, I think when you\u2019re saying the names that you were saying, those are Hall of Famers, so maybe that\u2019s where it all stems from,\u201d said Kuemper, smiling. \u201cBut we\u2019re really confident with the three of us, our union \u2014 we know what we\u2019re all capable of. We\u2019re just looking forward to get started here.\u2019\u2019<\/p>\n<p>Thompson said it hadn\u2019t dawned on him the line of Canadian superstar goalies from past NHL Olympics that preceded the current trio.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThose are all pretty elite goalies. I didn\u2019t even think about that,\u201d he said. \u201cI guess it\u2019s cool to be a part with those names. Just want to make those guys proud.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>There\u2019s no denying no one is fueling the doubters more than Binnington, whose struggles this season have opened him up to that. He ranks dead last in the NHL in goals saved above expected at minus-18.5, while Thompson ranks third at 17.9 and Kuemper 14th at 6.5, according to Money Puck.<\/p>\n<p>Team Canada\u2019s goalie consultant just happens to be the director of goaltending for the St. Louis Blues. So David Alexander knows all too well what the narrative is ahead of the Olympics regarding Binnington \u2014 because it was the exact same narrative a year ago before 4 Nations, an event in which Binnington proved the doubters wrong.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt was the same storyline, yes,\u2019\u2019 Alexander told The Athletic after practice Monday. \u201cThat\u2019s one thing Binner and I talk about all the time: when the critics stop, you\u2019re not in a good spot. Because the reality is, any position worth holding, brings criticism. It\u2019s just the reality of it. The criticism is really affirmation, is what it is. When you\u2019re surrounded by noise, it should elevate you. And he\u2019s a guy that\u2019s got a good brain for that and is able to recognize those moments and he\u2019s done a great job handling it.\u2019\u2019<\/p>\n<p>Binnington calmly answered the same old questions Monday. He gets it. And he insists he\u2019s not sick and tired of it.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNo, no. I think that\u2019s what keeps me going in some aspects, is proving myself and seeing what I\u2019m capable of and seeing where I can take it,\u201d he said. \u201cThat\u2019s something I\u2019ve used as motivation. That\u2019s just part of sports is people are going to doubt you, and it\u2019s how you handle it. For me, it\u2019s just staying in my own process and building my game and trying to get better every day, every year and seeing where it takes me.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>His performances in Game 7 at Boston in the 2019 Stanley Cup and in the 4 Nations championship game in Boston last February speak to what Binnington can achieve when he channels it. Can he tap into that again here?<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt is experience, right?\u201d said Binnington. \u201cYou gain wisdom and knowledge from experience. At the same time, none of that really matters when it comes (to) game time. You\u2019ve got to do whatever you can to be ready for that moment. Just enjoy it, take it all in and leave it all out there.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Team Canada won\u2019t say yet who will be the Game 1 starter. That\u2019s because the coaching staff hasn\u2019t even told the three goalies what the pecking order actually is, which all three goalies confirmed to be true Monday.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/IMG_0925-1.png\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-7033705 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/IMG_0925-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1918\" height=\"1500\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The conventional wisdom is that Binnington starts the tournament but is kept on a short leash. And remember this: even with that Hall of Fame lineage, Team Canada has had some interesting goalie twists in past NHL Olympics. Curtis Joseph started Game 1 in Salt Lake City in 2002, but after the team got blown out in the opener, Brodeur took over and never looked back. Eight years later in Vancouver, it was Brodeur, the NHL\u2019s all-time wins leader, who got replaced in net after a round-robin loss to the U.S. Then Luongo took over for the rest of the tournament en route to gold.<\/p>\n<p>There is absolutely a world in which we see a goalie stitch in this tournament.<\/p>\n<p>Regardless, Alexander \u2014 as one would imagine \u2014 takes issue with the narrative that\u2019s formed about Team Canada\u2019s goalie weakness.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI know the outside world thinks there\u2019s a goaltending issue, but the reality is two of these guys are Cup winners. Logan\u2019s name is being tossed around for a Vezina,\u201d said Team Canada\u2019s goalie consultant. \u201cI get the outside perception, it\u2019s great noise, but all three of these guys are deserving to be here and they stack up well against any other goalie in the tournament.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Boucher also downplayed Team Canada\u2019s perceived weakness in goal.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou can\u2019t just make it all about goaltending, right?\u201d Boucher told The Athletic on Monday. \u201cThey have to understand they have a really good team. Yeah, there were some Hall of Fame goaltenders before them, but they\u2019re all capable guys. Kuemper was a Vezina finalist, Binnington\u2019s won 4 Nations and Stanley Cup, Logan Thompson is having a great year, so I mean, you can\u2019t make it about them. They just got to be who they are, they\u2019re solid NHL goaltenders. It\u2019s not like they have to be all-world. I don\u2019t think it requires that.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI don\u2019t think it should come down to that,\u201d Boucher added. \u201cThey\u2019re good enough to win just based on their lineup. They just have to do their job. That\u2019s what it boils down to.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>And to Boucher\u2019s point, it is hard to forget the moment in the middle of the gold medal game in Sochi in 2014 when Carey Price yawned during a stoppage. He wasn\u2019t too busy that day. Team Canada was that dominant.<\/p>\n<p>If Team Canada\u2019s deeply talented lineup does its job, it shouldn\u2019t be about Canadian goaltending having to save the day.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHas Canada had a string of goaltenders that have been exceptional, Hall of Famers? They have,\u201d Team Canada head coach Jon Cooper said Monday. \u201cHave they been a part of this tournament and won? They have. To me, Carey Price goes down as one of the greatest goalies for sure of his generation and of all time. He was a winner. We have those guys. Some of these guys may not go down as generational goaltenders, but they\u2019re Stanley Cup winners. They have championship pedigree. They\u2019ve made the big saves at the times they\u2019ve needed to.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI watched that in Darcy Kuemper in my own building in Tampa (\u201922 Cup final). I watched it in Jordan Binnington. I\u2019ve watched Logan Thompson the last two years. Like, they\u2019re as good as anybody, and what they\u2019ve done for us not only last year but as teammates, I mean, we have all the faith in the world in them. I understand people have to write about stuff, but our guys go through a wall for them and they do the same for us. To me, it\u2019s not a story. I don\u2019t know where it comes from.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Sorry Coop, it\u2019s a story. But Binnington, Kuemper and Thompson have a chance to re-write it for themselves.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAnyone in this tournament obviously belongs to be here, and it\u2019s fun,\u2019\u2019 Binnington said. \u201cThere\u2019s always something to talk about out there. I think for us it\u2019s just sticking together and whoever\u2019s in there is just supporting and pushing each other. It\u2019s been fun so far, just two great guys. We\u2019re just working at it day to day, and we\u2019ll see how it all plays out.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Kuemper, who can tap into his \u201922 Cup run with Colorado to help prepare for this stage, says proving doubters wrong will happen if they play up to their ability.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou can\u2019t really listen to what people are saying, but we\u2019re all aware of how capable we are and confident in ourselves,\u201d said Kuemper. \u201cReally at the end of the day you just go play your game. If you\u2019re looking to prove people wrong that\u2019s all you\u2019ve got to do. Just go out there and play and not be too worried about what people are saying. Just go do what you do.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Still, all three goalies know what\u2019s being said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI mean, you always hear it. Everyone always just says how they think the goaltending is the weakest part,\u2019\u2019 said Thompson. \u201cI mean, it\u2019s been the word for the last couple of years. I don\u2019t see it that way. I don\u2019t think we see it that way. But for some reason everyone else does.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s the thing about the biggest stage in hockey: win Olympic gold and the doubters go away.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014Graphics courtesy of The Athletic\u2019s Dom Luszczyszyn<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"MILAN \u2014 The co-favorites for gold in men\u2019s hockey each have a tricky goaltending decision to make. 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