March 1, 2026, 2:11 a.m. ET<\/p>\n
The Vegas Golden Knights<\/a> (28-17-14) and Pittsburgh Penguins<\/a> (30-15-13) meet Sunday. Puck drop from PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh,\u00a0Pennsylvania, is set for 1 p.m. ET (TNT \/ HBO Max). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s<\/a> NHL odds around the Golden Knights vs. Penguins odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions<\/a>.<\/p>\n Season series: First meeting; split 1-1 last season<\/p>\n Vegas saw a 3-game win streak end Friday with a 3-2 loss at the Washington Capitals. The Golden Knights were +100 underdogs as the Under (6) cashed. The Golden Knights were outshot 30-26 and couldn\u2019t generate enough scoring despite the return of their 5 Olympians. RW Braeden Bowman and C Tomas Hertl scored in the third period for Vegas, cutting the deficit to 1 after Washington scored 3 times in the second period.<\/p>\n Pittsburgh lost Saturday, falling 3-2 in a shootout at the New York Rangers. The Penguins were slight -120 favorites and the Under (6) came through. RW Anthony Mantha and D Ryan Shea scored for the Penguins, who led 2-0 just 1:59 into the second period. Pittsburgh were dominated in faceoffs, while G Stuart Skinner played admirable, allowing 2 goals on 25 shots in the loss, and the Pens were dominated.<\/p>\n Watch the NHL on Fubo!<\/a>Golden Knights at Penguins odds<\/p>\n Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook<\/a>; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub<\/a> for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:10 a.m. ET.<\/p>\n Moneyline (ML): Golden Knights -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Penguins +125 (bet $100 to win $125)Puck line (PL)\/Against the spread (ATS): Golden Knights -1.5 (+155) | Penguins +1.5 (-190)Over\/Under (O\/U): 6 (O: -125 | U: +105)Golden Knights at Penguins projected goalies<\/p>\n Akira Schmid (16-7-6, 2.55 GAA, .895 SV%, 2 SO) vs. Stuart Skinner (19-12-6, 2.76 GAA, .891 SV%, 2 SO)<\/p>\n Schmid made 2 starts in February, going 1-1 with a 2.54 GAA and a .906 SV%. He allowed 3 goals on 30 shots in Saturday’s loss at the Capitals. In his other February start, the Swiss native beat the Vancouver Canucks<\/a> 5-2 Feb. 4, stopping 21 of 23 shots. He has never faced Pittsburgh in his career.<\/p>\n Skinner also made 2 starts in February but lost both — Saturday’s shootout and a 5-4 OT defeat at the New York Islanders Feb. 3. He allowed 7 goals on 48 shots in February, posting a 4.93 goals-against average and .854 SV%. Skinner owns a 5-3-1 record in 9 regular-season games against Vegas with a 2.76 GAA and .901 SV%. In the postseason, he is 4-5-0 with a 2.91 GAA and .897 SV% in 9 appearances against the Golden Knights.<\/p>\n Golden Knights at Penguins picks and predictionsPrediction<\/p>\n Penguins 3, Golden Knights 2<\/p>\n BET PENGUINS (+125).<\/p>\n Pittsburgh is in a strong spot to get the win Sunday. The Penguins have won 2 of their last 3, beating Buffalo and New Jersey with the loss coming in the shootout at the Rangers. They took a hit with C Sidney Crosby’s lower-body injury suffered in the Olympics, but expect C Evgeni Malkin to continue his bounce-back season. A veteran core gives Pittsburgh a clear edge in close games.<\/p>\n Vegas, meanwhile, is in the middle of a 5-game road trip and has dealt with injuries and inconsistent defensive play. The Golden Knights have also relied heavily on overtime and shootouts to stay competitive.<\/p>\n While young players like Pittsburgh C Ben Kindel have made an impact and the team has responded well to a new structure, this feels like a favorable matchup for the more experienced Penguins at home.<\/p>\n PASS.<\/p>\n No need to play with the puck line when we’re getting Pittsburgh on the moneyline at plus odds.<\/p>\n BET UNDER 6 (+105).<\/p>\n The Under has been the right play when these teams meet, cashing in the last 4 matchups. Vegas has gone Under in 2 of its last 3 games, while Pittsburgh has stayed Under in each of its last 2. With both teams dealing with injuries and missing key offensive pieces, scoring chances could be limited again. Expect a tight, low-scoring game.<\/p>\n For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com<\/a> and BetFTW<\/a>.<\/p>\n Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter\/X<\/a> and like us on Facebook<\/a>.<\/p>\n