{"id":496481,"date":"2026-03-10T12:52:13","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T12:52:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/496481\/"},"modified":"2026-03-10T12:52:13","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T12:52:13","slug":"is-boston-bruins-morgan-geekie-due-for-a-regression-the-hockey-writers-boston-bruins","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/496481\/","title":{"rendered":"Is Boston Bruins’ Morgan Geekie Due for a Regression? – The Hockey Writers – Boston Bruins"},"content":{"rendered":"

As we enter the last stretch of the 2025-26 season with an eye towards the playoffs, we should take a look at one Boston Bruins\u2019 star, Morgan Geekie<\/a>. <\/p>\n

Geekie has played above expectations the last two seasons<\/a>, scoring 67 goals in 138 games as a top-six player in the Bruins\u2019 system. A far cry from how he began in the NHL, as a player who was trying to find his spot with the Carolina Hurricanes and the Seattle Kraken.<\/p>\n

Related: From Waiver Wire to Bruins Sniper: The Evolution of Morgan Geekie<\/a><\/p>\n

He never found himself as more than a role player with either team, playing 9:23 a night with the Kraken before finding a new home with the Bruins in the 2023 offseason.<\/p>\n

Now, on the cusp of a potential playoff run, Bruins fans are enamored with Geekie\u2019s goal-scoring and playmaking abilities. It\u2019s earned him a handsome new contract signed in June 2025. <\/p>\n

It pays him $5.5 million average annual value (AAV) for the next six years, and adds a no-trade clause (NTC) in the next season. This will keep him in the black and gold until 2031, barring any eventual trades down the road.<\/p>\n

\"MorganMorgan Geekie, Boston Bruins (Amy Irvin<\/a> \/ The Hockey Writers)<\/p>\n

Geekie should be rewarded for this hard work, and he has come a long way from being just a role player we\u2019ve seen elsewhere. But fans should be forewarned: his goal-scoring ability could decline soon.<\/p>\n

If you want an example, just look at the New York Rangers and Chris Kreider<\/a>. He had three seasons where he scored 30-plus goals (2021-22, 2022-23, and 2023-24). In the last two seasons, he came barreling back to earth, where he\u2019s tallied 20-plus goals with the Rangers and the Anaheim Ducks this season.<\/p>\n

Morgan Geekie: Back To Earth<\/p>\n

Geekie is soaring with his scoring ability as a Bruin these past two seasons. His shooting percentage has increased incrementally<\/a>: 22% in 2024-25 and now 24.1% in 2025-26, but like Kreider, we should be realistic and expect this to end soon. He hasn\u2019t been afraid to shoot either, with 2.3 shots per game playing with skilled forwards this season.<\/p>\n

With Geekie on the third line now and playing 17:43 on ice, a regression could be imminent.<\/p>\n

A Sports Illustrated article from 2016<\/a> imparted this truth: that Geekie, who is 27, could see his shooting percentage regress.<\/p>\n

As it turns out, analysts who assume a player\u2019s shooting percentage will always revert to his career average are missing a very important detail, namely that a player\u2019s shooting percentage follows its own age curve.<\/p>\n

Younger players tend to have lower shooting percentages that improve as they gain pro experience. Conversely, as players start to decline overall, one of the things that also goes is their shooting ability.<\/p>\n

The Bruins\u2019 forward has been one of general manager Don Sweeney\u2019s more consequential signings<\/a> in recent years. He signed here as an unrestricted free agent (UFA) in July 2023 for a meager $2 million AAV cap hit. He\u2019s been a fit since. Geekie\u2019s scoring has climbed every season with the Bruins since 2023-24 and has grown from a bottom-six forward into a reliable 30-plus goal-scorer.<\/p>\n

While we don\u2019t want to see him fall off, a regression could be on the way, but it\u2019s a matter of when, not if, when looking at other snipers who had abnormally high shooting percentages and fell back to earth.<\/p>\n

In the meantime, his 2025-26 totals are as follows: 34 goals, 23 assists for 57 points, and a minus-7. Geekie should focus on improving his backcheck game and puck possession, as he\u2019s given away the puck 54 times this season, three more times than the total of last season (51). This could help address his lowered Corsi-for percentage (CF%) of 49.3 this season.<\/p>\n

The 394-game NHL veteran has scored 106 goals and 109 assists for 215 points split between the Carolina Hurricanes, Seattle Kraken, and Boston Bruins. <\/p>\n

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<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"As we enter the last stretch of the 2025-26 season with an eye towards the playoffs, we should…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":496482,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5099],"tags":[154,95,5132,530,5,4261,4],"class_list":{"0":"post-496481","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-boston-bruins","8":"tag-boston","9":"tag-boston-bruins","10":"tag-bostonbruins","11":"tag-bruins","12":"tag-hockey","13":"tag-morgan-geekie","14":"tag-nhl"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nhl\/116204978708714447","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/496481","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=496481"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/496481\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/496482"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=496481"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=496481"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=496481"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}